Having analysed the last 13 winners of the Super Bowl we’ve come up with the following trends:
- 10 of the last 13 winners had won at least 10 games the previous season (two winners had 8–8 records, only one had a losing season)
- 8 of the last 13 winners had won at least 11 games the previous season
- 6 of the last 8 winners had won at least 11 games the previous season
- 8 of the last 13 winners had previously been in a final in the previous ten years
- 10 of the last 13 winners won at least 2 of their 4 PRESEASON games
The strongest trends profile for us to look at is a team that won at least two of their pre-season games, had been in a final in the last 10 years and who had won at least 11 games the previous season.
This leaves us with:
- New England
- New Orleans
Roethlisburger cannot possibly take his Steelers to a Super Bowl can he? He’s sure to pick up an injury this season and he looks a shadow of his former self. New Orleans aren’t really good enough on the road in the depths of winter to think about backing them.
That leaves us with NEW ENGLAND and MINNESOTA who both really looked like they’ve started the season in great form. Is Tom Brady 50 years old yet? He must be close. But seriously he killed it against the Houston Texans, whilst the whole Vikings unit looked primed. For that reason we have to back both teams and as it happens it means we have one team in both the AFC and NFC.
Suggested Bet (Scale of £10-£100):
£40 win New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl @ 13–2 Skybet
£20 win Minnesota Vikings to win the Super Bowl @ 12–1 William Hill
£5 win Patriots and Vikings to be Super Bowl finalists @ 14–1 Ladbrokes