I am getting these out tonight so I can wake up to some fights and cashed bets!
I am giving you some locks I feel very confident about, and if you aren't into parlays or stringing bets together, I've provided more than enough plays at around even odds to make things interesting. From the bottom of the card up...
Manny Bermudez vs. Davey Grant:
Bermudez (-277), Under 1.5 (+114), or any ITD [Inside the Distance] Play
With Grant's layoff and willingness to grapple with more excelled grapplers, I really like the play of Bermudez by submission.. and I think he can get it done early. The under 1.5 is a bit risky as 4.5 minutes to get a submission is a bit tricky, but I think Davey Grant actually plays perfectly into Manny's submission game. Bermudez is my favorite play of tomorrow!
Pingyuan Liu v Damian Stasiak:
Stasiak (-106), Under 2.5 (+103), or any ITD [Inside the Distance] Play
The truth is this fight may play out completely different than I imagine if Liu really shows or if Stakiak really doesn't.. but from what I've seen of both men I just know that Stasiak will dominate any initiated grappling exchanged. Damian has a habit of finishing lesser fighters on the ground early, so I like the under, especially at 2.5.
Glover Teixeira v Corey Anderson:
Teixeira (-160), Under (+141), or any ITD [Inside the Distance] Play
This one seems like a no brainer, and although that usually worries me, I just can't stray from my gut and my IQ on this one. Corey Anderson just can't take a shot from a guy like Glover, and I see the first few solid shots that land putting Anderson out in spectacular fashion. Corey will try and use his wrestling, but Glover is a jiu jitsu black belt along with having great takedown defense. I like the Brazilian by knockout.
Footnotes:
Nad Narimani pictured below is a very solid favorite going into his match, and he's worth a look -251 for a straight bet or a parlay topper.
Any under on the main event between Rua and Smith should be taken, I can't see that lasting more than a few minutes with the way these guys fight. I also like Rua at +200 and honestly, a lot of the fights on the card are more 50/50 than anything so throw a little on all the dogs just in case. It should be a fun night (or morning depening on where you are) of fights!
Good night, and good luck!
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