Red... red all over the place...

For this week I have to report two discoveries. 

First, my prediction model is utterly useless when it comes to predicting the outcomes of the lower leagues. Second, it is (surprisingly) consistently good in predicting the outcomes of the Premier League matches.

If you're following this series of mine, you'll notice that the model has 60% hit rate in the EPL - four game weeks in a raw! I doubt it will be able to keep it that way much longer, but so far it didn't fail to get 6/10 games right.

Keep that in mind when you're looking at the model's picks.

Now, let's see how we're doing since the beginning of the seasons:

2/5 in green (optimist)  || 3/5 in red (pessimist)

After 352 games, we made some money in 2/5 leagues, but we are in a deep hole thanks to the model's abysmal performance in Championship, League Two, and especially the League One. Here are the previous reports:

  1. EFL Week 1 Report
  2. EFL Week 2 Report
  3. EFL Week 3 Report
  4. EFL Week 4 Report


That would be all for now guys, thank you for reading and good luck!