It finally happened... after doing 6/10 for the five consecutive weeks, the model under-performed this week getting just 5/10 correct. What will the next matchday bring us?

The last game week the prediction model did well in four out of five leagues. Let's see what we have got for this week.

In this report we are looking at the model's performance for the picks it made in these two posts:

  1. EFL Midweek Action (Sep 18, 2018)
  2. EFL Weekend Action (Sep 21, 2018)

This week we have seen two things we have not before. The model underperforming in the English Premier League and the first postponed match of the season in the League One: Barnsley v Burton. Now, let's look at the table:

Profit (in units)     |     ROI (in %)

Even though we did well in just three out of five, the performance in the Championship, the League Two, and the National League has been more than enough to put is in the green.

The League One, after the promising last week, is again doing most of the damage. In general, I'm happy with the model's performance at this stage, in all but this league.

Let's look at the other table to see what I'm talking about:

Now you see it... Even though the League Two is in the red, too, the loss there is within an acceptable range. The poor performance in the League One is just disastrous for the profitability of the model's picks in total.

That's all for now. Here are the links to the previous reports: W7, W6, W5, W4, W3, W2, W1.

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Thank you for reading and good luck!