Due to some irl stuff I won't be having much time this weekend for betting so I'm writing this posts a day early (the first game starts tomorrow).

The Model's Picks

No surprises here this time around. The model is in agreement with the market, but according to it there may be some value in the following plays:

  1. Fulham +0.75 @1.94 (or better)
  2. Chelsea +0.75 @2.05 (or better)

This time I'll follow the model and depending on the odds movement in the next couple of days close some positions. When it comes to ScorumBet, it's still too early and there's not much action (or the offers) there just yet:

Three games don't have anything on it at all. I've just shaved off the best offers on the market at the moment (ignoring the odds since the stakes are micro).

All the picks are being tracked on BlitzPredict (my profile):

If you want to know why I'm tracking my picks there read this and this. Do join the fun.

In my last post I invited the community to solve a little puzzle and as I expected, a lot of experienced bettors had no problem solving it.

@barbadosso has been the first to answer it, but since he declined the reward it went to @djoker who provided a detailed answer. Congratulations!

I'd like to thank everyone that left the comment and engaged in the discussion.


Now, to continue my tradition of placing stupid bets on the UEFA matches just look above. If, by some chance this bet wins, all the profit from it (229.74 SCR) will be split equally among those that left the comment today.

Now to keep it on topic, leave the comment with your favorite EPL play for this weekend. What you'll be betting on and why? Good luck!