This weekend we have just six English Premier League matches, but some of them are important. And the most important of them all, Southampton v Liverpool, starts today at 20:00 GMT. Let's see what we can do with what we have.

Before we go with my personal opinions, here are the calculations that my prediction model made:

Southampton v Liverpool

As you can see, although my model backs Liverpool to win this game, it gives them just 46% chance while the average odds on the market suggest 74% chance of winning. With that in mind I think that there's value in backing Southampon +1.5 @1.88.

The home side showed some life in the recent games with the wins over Tottenham and Brighton and even though I don't see them wining this one, I don't think that they'll lose by more than one goal.

Huddersfield v Leicester

Two sides with not much to fight for. With Huddersfield being 1W4L and Leicester 4W1L in their last five and with the odds you can get on the market go with the away team.

Bournemouth v Burnley

Bournemouth is much better at home than Burnley is away. Both sides would like to get something out of this match so it can be a tight game. I'll back Bournemouth to win this one. The odds are decent given their recent performance at home.

Newcastle v Crystal Palace

A similar game to the one above. Both sides eyeing the points. Since you can get Newcastle @2.60-ish and my model puts it at @2.31 I'll go with it.

Everton v Arsenal

Everton is in a decent shape registering 3W1D1L in the recent five while Arsenal is flying. Even though I'd rate the guests as a much better side and they do need 3 points out of this game, my model thinks that backing Everton is the right play. So, be it.

Chelsea v West Ham

West Ham doesn't even try to play these days. They've collected 42 points and are taking it easy. On the other hand, Chelsea with 63 points cant afford to sit on their hands. Even though I don't like the odds very much, I think it's worth backing Chelsea -1.5 @1.95.

BlitzPredict Picks Tracking

All the picks here are tracked on BlitzPredict.io and you can see them on my profile there.

ScorumBet Bets

Three games do have the markets set with enough liquidity, for the three unmatched I'll use the excellent Bet.Bot when my it resets my daily balance. If you haven't used it yet, do give it a try and send some support to its author @julienbh.

Good luck!