Once again, this contest has been long anticipated by boxing fans. Ever since the first contest finished in a controversial draw, fans have been desperate to see the rematch. It was originally slated for earlier this year, but Canelo failed a drugs test which put the fight in doubt. Eventually, cooler heads prevailed, and we are set for a huge rematch.
The first bout saw was incredibly controversial, mainly because of the Adelaide Byrd scorecard which gave Canelo a wide victory to make the right a draw. It was a close fight and I had Canelo winning, in contrary to most people. Golovkin was coming forward all night but his pressure was largely ineffective with Canelo showing great movement and taking the early and late rounds.
Golovkin (38-0-1) has been a terror at middleweight after a decorated amateur career which included an Olympic silver medal in 2004. He was something of a gym story at first after beginning training with Abel Sanchez in 2010. His career really took off when beating Milton Nunez for the WBA Regular Title. He reminded under the radar, but his US debut saw him stop Grzegorz Proksa in five. As a champion he terrorised the division stopping Geale, Brook, Ishida, Macklin and Rosado. He added the WBC title to his mantle by defeating Marco Antonio Rubio. The IBF title came when he beat David Lemieux. Prior to the first Canelo bout, he was also pushed to the brink by Daniel Jacobs.
Golovkin is best known for his aggressive stalking and power punching, stopping 33 opponents. He is intelligent as a puncher and with his footwork. He is not quick, but his footwork cuts the ring off well. His best work comes from his jab and left hook, which is particularly dangerous to the body. He has a superb chin which has seen him never knocked down. He does not use a lot of head movement though, preferring a shell technique which can leave his body open to attack.
Canelo (49-1-2) turned professional at 15 and has been a huge prospect for years. In his third bout he defeated future world champion Miguel Vazquez. In his 25th bout he won the NABF Welterweight Title. He featured on the Mayweather - Mosley undercard where he stopped Jose Miguel Cotto. Following this he moved up to light middleweight and became the second man to stop Carlos Baldomir. He won the WBC light middleweight title beating Matthew Hatton. He reeled off six defences including beating Shane Mosley and Austin Trout before losing a decision to Floyd Mayweather. Since then he has won seven straight winning the WBO Light Middleweight and WBC Middleweight titles with wins over Erislandy Lara, Amir Khan and Miguel Cotto.
Canelo is more stylistically flexible with the ability to go forwards or backwards. His punching is precise with brilliant speed and accuracy. He will likely look to counter punch here and will use him combination punching to allow him to exchange. Canelo tends to put himself against the ropes which is dangerous against Golovkin and could be potentially show he has stamina issues. His struggles have been against slick boxers who move well; Austin Trout, Erislandy Lara and Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Like the first fight, I expect public money to be with Golovkin as a fan favourite and someone who was seen as robbed in the first bout. In a bout between a boxer and a pressure fighter, the rematch tends to favour the boxer who will have adjusted to the opponent’s tendencies. I think he will once again use his speed and movement to keep GGG from landing. Canelo will have also learnt that GGG has a chin made of steel and will be less likely to hunt for a knockout. I think he will be the improved fighter from the first bout. Once again, I fancy Canelo by decision although it scares me that potentially judges could be influenced by the view that GGG was robbed in the first bout.
Best bet: Canelo to win by decision (3.25 @William Hill)