These posts contain previews from the Belgian Jupiler League with some of my personal bets, Live-betting angles, team form, injuries along with general team news...
I kept a low profile yesterday in a rather strange match between Kortrijk and Kv Mechelen and only got in a couple small trading and betting position that took back a little bit of the profit from the European matches. 4 interesting games today with 1 rather big bet already on one of them which was shared early this week.
Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden
Charleroi has been both consistent and rather fortunate in their performances and matches and they have an average score of 6.17 in the paper. they are one of the teams that have been crushing the Asian Handcaps going W-1L-1P so far. Striker Nicholson showed has shown to be a good replacement for Osimen and Rezai also is looking better again. They have scored at least 1 goal in the last 23 matches but I do see the over line as overly adjusted against a similar counter-style team. Stvv is an under team and I expect this to get tactical with both teams taking little risk to get punished on the counter.Stvv played a poor match last week and got lucky to get away with a draw against the last in the standings. My main bets in this match are Charleroi vs Stvv Under 3 @ 1.805 & 1st Half under 1.25 @ 1.80. I might take some live on the home team but will need some confirmation live first.
Antwerp vs Cercle Brugge
Antwerp is one of the better teams in the league when looking at the player quality base and no longer have to put up with the Europa League mid-week matches. Cercle Brugge is not playing all that bad and deserved to score in most of their matches. The lack of having experience really plays a big part in them being in the 14th spot with only 3 points that were taken against the last in the standings. In their last away match against AA Gent they got totally blown away despite only losing by 1 goal. I took small bets on Antwerp -1.25 @ 1.820 and over 3 @ 1.862 along with a tiny prop bet on Antwerp to win & Both to score @ 2.65. I am however holding my real guns for Live betting and hope to be able to get in a lot more if the match picture allows it.
Waasland vs Moeskroen
This is a real tricky match. Moeskroen has shown the past weeks that they are actually not that bad as they looked at the start of the season but are still wildly ranked above their real place in the standings. They are bound to have a bad streak at some point but I'm not willing to bet on that reversal just yet as they play a team that is in the opposite position. Waasland played a good match last week away against stvv but failed to take the 3 points home after a last-second equalizer. I would be all over Waasland pre-game at home as the underdog but I'm waiting it out. In the past, these situations where teams who are in a lucky streak play against teams in an unlucky streak nearly always saw these patterns continue so I'm extra cautious. I did, however, take some on the Waasland Beveren Corners +1 handicap @ 1.854 and Waasland Beveren Corners +0.5 handicap @ 2.28. limits were extremely low though and little as 100€ got 1.854 down to 1.680 so not much there to get on.
Racing Genk vs Oostende
This one will be an interesting match as a reference to keep in mind for the future. Genk got totally humiliated in the Champions League last week and are in a bad streak. They still have a far better squad compared to Oostende who at times played ok especially in the first half but showed to simply not be good enough against better teams when it comes down to it. The main question in this match is if Genk will continue their struggle or if they have a reaction against a weaker team. Oostende is still without Palaversa who showed to be important while Genk will be without Bongonda who brought creativity. I will keep my eye open to bet Oostende if they show to be up for it in the 1st half but will likely just see this match as a learning experience. No Pre-Game Bets
Late info might change my view on what is written in this post. Matches will be covered live in our SBC Discord Channel. Bookmakers that I am using myself and can recommend are Sportmarket Pro, Nitrogensports, Sportsbet.io. Bigger bets will be shared here and on Twitter (@costanzabets) with proper record keeping. Bets can also be followed directly on copytip. Using my links when signing up helps to continue making these previews, Thanks!
Nitrogensports is a reliable BTC bookmaker which has a similar bookmaking model to asian bookies which means they offer low juice and don't limit winning players. they get a B+ raing on Sportsbookreview and never had any issue with them for the 2+ years I have been using them.
CORRECT SCORE CONTEST
Predict the correct score in the Racing Genk vs Oostende match in the comments. A ~50% upvote will be split between the ones that got it right...
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