I'm making these weekly posts as a way to track my personal pre-game handicapping results along with my live betting action on Belgian Teams. These posts will usually contain some insights when it comes down to my general approach and what I do to increase my chance of beating the market.

Another good week with some solid profit after having somewhat a frustrating start of the season. Things are certainly evening out as I was quite fortunate to avoid betting Eupen +0.75 which would have lost despite crushing the closing line. I continue to pump out a lot of bets (224 in 5 weeks so far!). Many of those are smaller bets to manage risk and variance or trades taking unders in a match with a very slow start where I trade out once things start heating up. Overall everything is running exactly as hoped so far this season and I haven't had any major swings yet.

Sunday Focus

I always try to observe myself to find a way to improve and I have been less focussed on Sundays often taking multiple small 'wilder bets' I shouldn't really get into that add up. The betting weekend can be quite intense and especially the matches with lower-ranked teams Sunday evening can be a real torture watching. It's certainly a working point I will try to improve

Pre-Game BTC and Discord Live bets

These 'official recommendation bets' that should be possible to follow at the time I take them myself have actually been the most solid (as they are intended to be). The BTC bets are now 8W-2L-0P and have been crushing the closing lines. Zulte-Waregem +0.5 @ 1.92 I was on this week on Sportsbet.io closed at a -0.25 line. I actually reduced my risk a bit taking the +0.25 on Stvv seeing the match end in a 0-0 draw. I already shared an early BTC bet (KV Mechelen -1 @ 2.767)using Nitrogensports for week 6 on Twitter (@costanzabets) & Discord yesterday.

Another profitable week also with the live bets on the SBC Discord I will make a full record update on them during the international break similar to how I did it last year. I also continue to bet/track all the pre-game BTC bets and the Discord Live bets on Copytip where they can be followed automatically. Right now I'm 32 Bets good for +6.426 units and +20.78% ROI with 1 winning bet that still needs to be settled.

Discord Live-Bets Week 5
Anderlecht 1st Half +0 @ 2.04 (37' 0-0) HT 0-0 PUSH

Racing Genk +0 @ 1.890 (76' 1-0) FT 1-0 PUSH

Oostende +0.25 @ 1.83 (7' 0-0) FT 2-1 WON

( All My live Bets are Taken at Sportmarket Pro who offer the best odds on the market )
(Personal Results Graph )

I have been running fairly close to the expected profit pink line this season. Especially with as little as 200 bets, the gap can be huge. This is one of the difficulties of sports betting making bankroll management extremely important. If you bet 1000€ on something with 2.0 odds expecting +3.5% ROI you will either go +1000€ or -1000€ instead of +35€. take a 6-7 game winning or losing steak and it's easy to see how a chart can skyrocket or plummet even when having 1000 Bets in. I try to look at it one game at a time trusting things will go up over time taking the swings for what they are.

Let me know in the comments how your own betting week was!