This is a weekly overview of my personal handicapping and live betting results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League with some insights on my overall approach.
I'm still running stone-cold and feel kind of clueless when it comes down to betting right now. The circumstances are so that it's hard to make any sensible predictions. The league had a 5-month break, there a no fans in the stadiums, last week weather conditions were extremely hot, this week some of the matches were played under apocalyptic storm conditions, ...
I have been keeping a cautious approach but apparently not cautious enough as I had another losing week this time only going down around 1 unit in total. Most bets have been based on what I see live in what has been an extremely painful to watch number of matches so far this season. Top teams haven't been reaching close to a decent level so far and none of the smaller teams (maybe aside from Beerschot) have shown to be a potential underrated revelation.
For now, I will just continue with high caution and see if I can pick up some clues getting into a better form before increasing my stakes to what I usually bet.
Copytip
I keep the "Officially Recommended" pre-game & Live bets that I take some extra on over at Copytip selective to the ones that really stand out. I am also sharing these on my blogs and in the SBC Discord Channel. So far, I have had none of these even though Antwerp came close last weekend (which would have lost). I'm in no rush as the long term good profitability is the main aim. I'm sure they will come along eventually especially if I manage to get things going.
Without any volume, the gap between the expected profit (pink line) and the actual result will always be quite big and it takes time for both to get a lot closer to each other. Basically, if you bet 1000€ at 2.0 odds and expect to win 3.2% you will be up 1000€ or down 1000€ while your expectation is only 32€. In that regard, betting is really a grind where you have to get in a lot of plays.
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