This is a weekly overview of my personal handicapping and live betting results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League with some insights on my overall approach
Week 4 started out quite well mostly taking medium-sized pre-game positions reducing my exposure along the way making some good profit in the process to the point where I was back in the green around where I expect things to be at. My overall confidence level grew to the point I was willing to take some bigger bets with my regular stakes which is where things went south.
My main pre-game bet was on Antwerp +0.5 @ 1.74 which closed at 1.65 and lost also because Antwerp got a red card. I also took a good-sized bet on Beerschit +0.25 @ 1.947 which to my surprise went up to 2.05. I did sell part of my position live but still lost quite a bit in a match that was won by Standard with 0-3.
Overall I'm fairly optimistic still after 4 weeks despite having 3 losing weeks sitting at a small loss overall. my main goal going forward will be to be a bit more brave looking for those higher 2.5+ type of odds which have always done well in the past.
Next week there will be a break and European qualification matches will be back in September so plenty of action to look forward to.
Copytip
I did have my 2nd official live bet this week which turned into another deserved winner that showed to have some good value. I did get disconnected on the SBC Discord which made it impossible to also share it there as the goal came minutes after placing the actual bet. It did get properly processed on Copytip though for those who want to follow these selective bets that since starting there went +10.95% on 82 Flat Bets. I will continue to stay extra selective with these bets.
Discord / Copytip Live-Bets Season 2020-2021
30/08/2020 Club Brugge -0.25 @ 1.846 (20' 0-0) FT 2-1 Bet WON
22/08/2020 Zulte-Waregem Team Total over 2 @ 1.924 (37' 1-0) FT 4-1 Bet WON
I touched the pink expected profit line but got pretty much rejected. I do however feel quite optimistic as the damage is quite limited and a hot run at some point is bound to take place. We are still very early in the season and the graph has a long way to go still to become more representative.
Season 2019-2020 | 1406 Bets +2.48% ROI
Season 2018-2019 | 1090 Bets +2.47% ROI
Season 2017-2018 | 821 Bets +7.22% ROI
I'm looking forward to the break next weekend and will be back for week 5 in the league!
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