Glimpse at Strategy
Bankroll started for goal £300
I am going to use the "Martin Gail technique" which is basically you double you bet when you lose, it looks something like this:
bet £5 outcome 1 = -5 double next outcome 2 = +5 continue at base bet (£5)
bet £10 outcome 1 = -10 double next outcome 2 = +5 move back to base bet(5)
bet £20 outcome 1 = -20 double next outcome 2 = +5 move back to base bet(5)
These are based on betting at EVENS.
However I have adapted it to work within sport, changing of odds and diversifying sports.
- In some sports like football when a decent teams hits a bad run you will get better odds, 5/4, 6/4 and this gives you the opportunity to reduce your bet. The bookmaker doesn't account for you losing 3 evens bets and winning 1 5/4 and coming out +.
- Diversifying the bets massively reduces the potential drawdown over the longevity.
Example: single betting 5,5,5,5 @evens 1win 3 losses = - 10 -50%
next bet 7,7,7,7 @evens 2 wins 2 losses = break even, but still down -10
next bet continue 7,7,7,7 (@evens) 0 losses 4 wins = +28 overall +18
So leveraging bet sizes and odds together makes a solid foundation for winning with very little risk.
I can't really be bothered to go into real detail for which sports and bets work best, this is mostly for me to keep check of my results.
Todays Bets
English Championship
Luton v Middlesbrough = Middlesbrough
odds: 2/1
bet: £5
ATP Washington
Gojowczyk v Edmund = total games "odd"
odds: Evens
bet: £5
Marin Cilic v Medvedev = total games "odd"
odds: 21/20
bet: £5
Tsitipas v Paire = total games "odd"
odds: Evens
bet: £5
MLB Baseball
Rockies v Giants = under 11.5
odds: 8/5
Bet: £5
Cubs v Brewers = under 8.5
odds: Evens
Bet: £5
Total bets placed: £30 = 10% of bankroll across 6 bets to diversify risk. (usually I go for 5% max)but this is a trial.
Results in next post.
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