This is the 20th round of the Seria A clash between Genoa and Ac Milan. Genoa will host Ac Milan at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris stadium, in what seemed to be the 28th clash between them. The visitors are considered a heavy favourite to win this tie as they have managed to dominate Genoa in recent years, by winning four out of possible last six meeting between them, drawing one and losing just once in the process. The last time both teams met was on 31-10-2018, in which the Rossoneri team won at home by 2 goals to 1. For today's game, both teams have important offensive absences - especially Genoa who are without their in form and top Striker, Piatek. AC Milan hit the boil in the last match of 2018, but more is needed to prove that the team has suddenly and miraculously learned to score goals.
GENOA
The host Genoa is currently sitting in the 14th position after having managed to record a total of 5 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats since the start of the 2018/19 Seria A campaign. The host is no doubt without their top goal scorer Piatek, who received a yellow card in their previous game against Fiorentina, and with that, it means the polish striker will miss today's clash against Milan due to the yellow card accumulation rule. The I Rossoblù are coming to this game after a series of bad results in their recent fixtures, in which they have only managed just one win in their last 13 Seria A games, losing seven of them and drawing 5 in the process. In their last match, they managed to hold Fiorentina with a goalless draw at home. So for today's match, Genoa new manager, Cesare Prandelli will hope that his team can provide strong resistance and come out with positive results against Milan today.
AC MILAN
The visitors, AC Milan is currently sitting in the 6th position after having managed to accumulate 31 points so far with 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses since the start of the 2018/19 Seria A campaign. The Rossoneri will return to action today in Serie A after qualifying for the Coppa Italia quarter-finals in the penultimate round but failed in the Supercup final against Juventus. On the whole, AC Milan manager Gattuso has proved incapable of making the Rossoneri a goal-intensive team, and although their defence is quite stable, the inability or rather the structure of the forward path is alarming, as they have only managed to score a few goals in their last 9 outings. If you take a quick statistical look over Gattuso's career, it is clear that he lacks coaching skills in the discipline to learn a team to score goals. In fact, I've rarely seen anyone like that. However, coming to this game, the team will try to guarantee victory to increase their chance in the race for the Champions League next season.
PRE-MATCH FACT
- Seven of the last eight AC Milan away league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- The last two AC Milan away league games have both ended goallessly.
- AC Milan has drawn their last 3 away matches in Serie A.
- Genoa has failed to win 12 of their last 13 matches in Seria A.
- AC Milan has been drawing at both half time and full time in their last 3 away matches in Serie A.
PREDICTION
For this clash, think there is value in exploring the Under 2.5 market. At home, the Genoa team usually stands out in the Luigi Ferraris stadium, so this is definitely going to be a tough match for the guest. In spite of a nice home stats for Genoa, AC Milan has been made a significant favourite to win this game @ odds 2.478 on Betscorum, which seems fair because they can better cope with their respective profile absences than Genoa, to which I think they are highly dependent on Piatek's goals.
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