It's this time of the week, the time to place the bets for the weekend. My prediction model Molali ran some calculations and here are the results.

After the bad last week it's time to chase some losses! I lost some money last weekend and I need to get it back now.

Nah, I am just kidding. Never do that! Forget about the money that is gone! Focus on the bets in front of you.

I will just go on as before, searching for value bets based on my calculations and following my plan. The stakes will be the same as last week with 2 Units per bet. I bet on every result that my model shows a bigger probability than the bookies imply from their odds. If my model works as good as I think, then in the long term I will be in profit. And if not, then I will have to adapt the model.

My bets

This week I placed one bet more, thus 12 bets. This means I have 24 Units in the market right now. The odd range is narrower than usual, going from 1.84 to 6.25.

I have a good feeling for the games Espanyol - Real Madrid and Alaves - Rayo Vallecano. Unfortunately the odds are not the best. But winning those would be a solid basis to begin with.

I think for Celta and Valladolid this weekend will be crucial to avoid relegation, so I really look forward for this game. I think Celta has the better team, so I think I have good chances with this bet too.

All calculations

As usual I give you all the calculations made from the Molali so you can make your own conclusion. For example you may want to get a little inspiration for some result bets or just compare it with your predictions.

Summary

The performance of the Molali so far. I hope to improve the hit rate, specially because the average odds this weekend are lower than before (3.85).