Some of you here at Scorum are REALLY GOOD AT BETTING. I am not. Or - the truth is that I am not good at analyze team, player, leauge, weather and everything else. I am a mathematical player. I just look at the odds.
SO - My opinion is that
If you can not beat the bookmaker - be the bookmaker.
How?
I will make it easy
PAF is a big bookmaker in Finland and also in Sweden. I will look at the odds at tomorrows match in Europe League Real Betis vs Stade Rennes.
This is the odds
1.61 - 4.00 - 5.40
With this odds the payback is under 100% and that is important to remember. They have experts that set this odds and it is at a limit where PAF will win money IN LONG TERM. Maybe not at every match. Maybe not at this match BUT IN LONG TERM
So if I offer exactly the same odds at this match at BetScorum I will win in long term. I can not be sure that anyone will take my offered odds - But that can not PAF be either.
I wrote earlier today how to calculate right odds
1.61 - opposite odds is 2,63. I will bet 100 SCR at that at X2
4.00 opposite odds is 1,33 I will bet 100 SCR at that at 12
5,40 opposite odds is 1,,22 I will bet 100 SCR at that at 1X
All this bets are unmatched but that does not matter today. IF only some of this will be matched I am happy. Because I will be offer odds in a level where I will win - IN LONG TERM
Do you agree...
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