Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings

So this is the reverse fixture of the game that was played last week. Adelaide comfortably won that one by 11 points and i expect them to do the same later today.

Adelaide have a fantastic H2H streak against Sydney, winning their last ten encounters straight. I'm experimenting with the "basket ratio" to predict the outcome of basketball matches and Adelaide's is at 101 while Sydney's is at 88. I prefer a minimum of 15 but for this game i think 13 is enough give their overall H2H.

Pick: Adelaide 36ers ML @ 1.827

Meralco Bolts vs Magnolia Hotshots

Top of the league Magnolia take on Meralco which is languishing somewhere close to the bottom in 10th spot. Obvious choice is Magnolia right? Well the thing is Meralco's record doesn't fully reflect their quality as they had a number of players out for the Asian games. Now that they're back, expect their record to sharpen up. Their last win against 7th placed Road Warriors should be some indication.

All that said, i think Magnolia are playing too well and will win this. The only question is by how much. The lines are at -6.5 now for Magnolia but to play it safer, i'd rather eat some chalk and take them on the -4.5.

Pick: Magnolia Hotshots -4.5 @ 1.592

Overall: 2.909