It looks like the Premier League title race is going to go down to the wire with Manchester City leapfrogging Liverpool into 1st place in the table, and it's time to think about a Liverpool vs Burnley prediction and some worthwhile betting tips.
Within this article, you'll find a recent form guide for Liverpool and Burnley, pre-match analysis of squad injuries and strategies, alongside a match prediction and betting tips.
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Form Guide
Liverpool
Liverpool have been stuttering recently and, although they've only lost 1 game in the Premier League all season, a number of draws have provided Manchester City with the chance to go back to the top of the table. Over the previous 5 games, Liverpool won 2 and drew 3.
Statistically, Liverpool have maintained a great record throughout the season. The Reds have scored 64 times in the Premier League, an average of 2.13 goals per game. Defensively, Liverpool are up there with the best teams in the world having conceded just 15 times, an average of 0.50 goals per game.
Burnley
Burnley are in a slightly tricky situation at the moment as, although they are clear of the relegation zone in 16th place for now, they only have a 5 point margin. The club was on a decent run of form but have now lost consecutive games. Over the previous 5 games, Burnley won 2, lost 2, and drew 1.
Statistically, Burnley have been poor so far this season. They've scored 32 times in the Premier League, an average of 1.10 goals per game. However, they have also conceded 53 times, an average of 1.83 goals per game.
Head to Head
Over the previous 10 meetings between the clubs, Liverpool won 7, Burnley won 2, and there was 1 draw. Liverpool won the corresponding fixture this season with a scoreline of 1-3 back in December 2018.
Pre Match Analysis
Liverpool
Liverpool have been on a difficult run of form recently that has seen them drop points with frustrating draws. This has allowed Manchester City to return to 1st place in the Premier League table, albeit by just 1 point. With 9 games remaining, Liverpool know that they just need to do their part and hope that Manchester City drop points in at least 1 game. The title challenge is, of course, still well in place but Liverpool can't afford to keep dropping points in the manner that they have. In an ordinary season, a draw away to Manchester United and Everton would be seen as decent results, but they feel like losses at this point in time for the Reds.
Strategically, Liverpool will be looking to put in a dominant performance in front of their home supporters in this match. The Reds have a much stronger squad than Burnley and will most likely dominate possession so, if the attacking players are clinical, then Liverpool should go on to take all 3 points. Although the Reds have been dropping points, they have now gone 5 games in a row without conceding a goal so the defence is still doing a great job, as they have been all season. Firmino is likely to return to the starting 11 while Keita could come in to provide some creativity in the midfield.
Burnley
Burnley will go into this game knowing that they need an upturn in form to avoid a nervous relegation battle. Two losses in a row may have dented the confidence of the players and, having seen Watford dismantled at Anfield with ease last week, there may be a tendency to want to avoid a hammering here. That could lead to a more defensive approach from Burnley, who will look to contain the attacking three of Mane, Salah, and Firmino. Sitting back and defending for 90 minutes, however, would probably be too much for this Burnley defence to handle.
Strategically, Burnley need to look to defend well against Liverpool early in the game in the hope of frustrating both the players and supporters. If they can get through the first 20 minutes or so without conceding then there will likely be opportunities to venture forward a bit more to test Liverpool at the back. Burnely need to be aggressive in the midfield area to prevent the likes of Fabinho from controlling the tempo of the game. Set pieces and counter-attacks are likely to be the biggest weapon in Burnley's arsenal here but they need to be solid at the back.
Prediction
I am fairly confident that Liverpool will go out and take all 3 points in this fixture. Although draws against Manchester United and Everton were frustrating they weren't suprising the grand scheme of things. The display against Watford, a much better team than Burnley, showed that the Reds have what it takes to be ruthless at home.
Prediction: Liverpool win
Score Prediction: Liverpool 4 - 0 Burnley
Betting Tips
My gut feeling is that Liverpool are going to respond with a big victory here so I have opted to cover the Over 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 Goals markets.
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