Been very busy on other things so have neglected this little series for a few weeks so back today to try and recover from the complete whitewash last time out. Arsenal did have a goal ruled out which would have lessened the hurt here but alas they didn't perform has we expected them to, such is football and Arsenal at the moment are very unpredictable, the recent 3-0 loss to Wolves is an example of that.
Previously on Digging For Value
Arsenal vs. Newcastle Over 2.5 Goals Lost
Arsenal vs. Newcastle Over 3.5 Goals Lost
Atletico Madrid vs. Girona Draw and Away Lost
The above results have turned our previous gains into a loss, as I explained in the last post there was so little action available on BetScorum I was forced to take two bets with the same team, something I will not do in future and took a smaller edge than a like to with the other game, but not making excuses, it is what it is and lets hope we can get into profit after these bets
Our Profit was 84.36 SCR but we now take 150 SCR from this and our new total is -65.64 SCR.
Todays games we are looking at the German league. Was tempted at the Spurs v West Ham game and may still put a punt on that game. West Ham like to raise their game against Spurs and in the league Spurs have nothing to play for, also they will have one eye on their game against Ajax.
German Bundesliga
Frankfurt v Hertha Draw odds on offer 5.52
This pick is ideally 1X but there is only 11 SCR available at time of writing on Frankfurt at 1.43 and we would need to put the majority of the stake on that outcome, so instead I am reducing the stake and covering the draw. Model gives 24% chance for the draw (4.166) whilst we are getting 5.52.
Bet placed 25 SCR on a draw @5.52
https://betscorum.com/en-us/game/10336
German Bundesliga
Hannover v Mainz Home odds 2.97 Draw odds 3.77
This pick is 1X and we split the stake 50/50 in this instance the home bet will be covered but we will make more if it is a draw.
Bet Placed 25 SCR Home win @2.97 and 25 SCR Draw @3.77
https://betscorum.com/en-us/game/10342
German Bundesliga
Dortmund v Schalke Home odds 1.443
Model is giving odds of 1.36 or 73% chance of a Dortmund win so we are going to take the odds of 1.443 on offer for the home win.
Bet Place 50 SCR Home win @1.443
https://betscorum.com/en-us/game/10339
Last Gasp
Gave in and put 100 SCR on the draw and 50 SCR on West Ham to win. This doesn't count for this series but weighting all the factors at play in this fixture made me make the bet. The only worry is West Ham have been poor of late and also do not have much to play for but I am banking on the fact that Spurs won't fancy a full bloodied derby game right now.
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