Our last 3 bets all won

Monarcas vs. Lobos BUAP Under 2.5 Goals

Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM Under 2.5 Goals

Real Sociedad vs. Levante Under 2.5 Goals

Staked 54.65 SCR Won 55.87 SCR

Profit to date 55.87 SCR

Germany Bundesliga

Leverkusen vs. Bremen Over 2.5 Goals on offer odds of 1.4

The probability of 58% for Over 2.5 Goals which converts to decimal odds of 1.72 anything under this is a value bet (if laying).

We will offer odds of 1.5 for Over 2.5 Goals.

a Check on Betfair and they are offering odds of 1.47 on Over 2.5 Goals.

With the Betfair odds well below our predicted outcome we can offer 1.5 odds on ScorumBet so we place a bet of 50 SCR on odds of 3 on Under 2.5 Goals. This results in us offering 50 SCR at odds of 1.5 for Over 2.5 Goals.

We can lay at 1.48 on Betfair so we also do that.

We got the bet on at Betfair but hope now to be matched on ScorumBet.

England Premier League

Everton vs. Chelsea Under 2.5 Goals on offer 409 SCR @1.939

The probability of 77% for Under 2.5 Goals converts to decimal odds of 1.3.

Betfair is offering 1.95 on Over 2.5 Goals so we take 50 SCR @1.939 and also place a bet at Betfair.

Betfair and ScorumBet are in quite close agreement on this one.

Italy Serie A

Empoli vs. Frosinone Over 2.5 Goals on offer 165 SCR @2.009

The probability of 54% for Over 2.5 Goals converts to decimal odds of 1.85.

Betfair is offering 2.04 on Over 2.5 Goals so we take 50 SCR @2.009 and also place the bet at Betfair.

According to the model and the betting this is a close call so a coin flip in reality. Since the model gives the nod to the Over 2.5 we will take that small edge.

Total bet 150 SCR but only 100 SCR currently matched

Tip

When wanting to offer the reverse odds the maths is as follows.

We want to offer 1.5 on Over 2.5 Goals

Take away 1 from the odds you want to offer, 0.5 and divide this into 1 1/0.5 = 2

Then just add 1 = 3. So we need to place a bet at odds of 3 on Under 2.5 Goals.

To be safe, offer a small amount of SCR say 0.1 and see if the bet displays correctly before placing the larger bet.