In MMA I almost always bet on underdogs (if I see value in the bet). Because this sport is very different from other sports and there are a lot of unknowns (hidden injuries, weight cut problems, psychological problems, bad judging, etc.) and there are no teammates to take a bit of weight of your shoulders like in football or basketball. Also, you don't have any time to adjust like in tennis or other 1 on 1 sport. If you make a mistake in MMA you pay for that instantly. Boxing might be similar in that regard but it has way fewer variables and also it's rigged af.

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In the upcoming UFC card, I picked Modafferi (@3.54 Moneyline) to win against Shevchenko. If the odds would be about equal I would probably stay away from this fight, but now it is too good to pass on.

Antonina Schevchenko is the sister of Valentina Schevchenko (current women's flyweight champ). She is a good, technical striker, but nowhere near Valentina's level. She has 7-0-0 record but hasn't yet met any really dangerous opponent in her career.

Modafferi, on the other hand, is a very crafty veteran (22 wins and 15 losses). She would have a huge advantage on the ground and she is not that bad in the striking department too! Her endurance should be better than Shevchenko's and she has a great chin too! You need to punch her with the world if you want to KO her (literally; her only KO loss is by a slam 9 years ago).

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