So after a few weeks of tracking these suggested plays by one of my online sportsbooks and watching those plays come up 0-8 of the ones I had personally witnessed. I decided it was time to just put those out there and suggest making a play against what they're suggesting. Of course the first one I took the time to write up lost. What are you going to do? Well if you're me you just trust the process and go write up and bet on the next one.

In the match up above they're suggesting you take the Louisville Cardinals because of their recent stellar record on the road going 4-1 ATS in their last 5. I'm going to say make a play the opposite way and take the home team in this one. Syracuse is currently listed as a small favorite of -2 so if they win they will likely cover the spread in the process.

Wouldn't you know it, they put out 2 suggested plays on the same day. Next game they're practically begging you to take the Tarheels as they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. Now this game is a bit different as this is a rivalry game between these schools and sometimes the motivations can be weird in rivalry games which will give you a result you don't expect. The books are expecting a big Duke win as they come in favored by 8.5 points. You could look at this line one of 2 ways, the books know something the public doesn't and know Duke will win big, or they believe the public perception is so high on Duke they had to make the line this high to generate equal action. Analyzing the recent results of the teams seems to indicate the books know something the public doesn't. Which is why the line is high. I think Duke will cover here but I'd be careful with this game, it is a lot of points.

So two plays today that I'm taking to go against the books suggested bets, Syracuse -2, and Duke -8.5. Good luck if you decide to take these bets.