Last week I was once again 1-1 with my bets bringing me to 4-2 on the year. All the games I talked about last week came in except one of the ones I happened to bet on. Denver let me down in Green Bay but against the spread last week in my yahoo group I went 14-2 ATS which is amazing and likely as close to perfect as I'll come all year. The 2 games I missed? The aforementioned Denver game and New England who blew the cover by giving up 2 defense/special teams TDs to the Jets. I scored 125 out of a possible 136 points. For comparison purposes I was 4-12 week 1 and 9-7 week 2. This weeks slate appears much more difficult to navigate so I'm interested to see what my record will be.
I had a very tough time figuring out who I want to put money on this week. The first game I like is the Cardinals +5.5 against the Seattle Seahawks. This is more a play against the Seahawks who, in my opinion, have looked terrible this year thus far. Sure they're 2-1 but the teams they've played are a combined 2-7 and their wins are against teams combined for 0-6. Week 1 they're 9 point favorites at home and manage only a 1 point win, week 2 they go to Pittsburgh and get a seemingly good road win, but the Steelers it turns out are terrible this year. Last week they lose at home to a Drew Breesless Saints team who historically struggles on the road. The Cardinals on the other hand have looked frisky every week, making that great comeback week 1 to get the tie, keeping it close in Baltimore week 2, last week they lost handily but still put up 20 points. If they put up 20 against the Seahawks they might win the game. This coupled with the fact that the Seahawks play their division rival Rams this Thursday night and I'm taking the Cards to cover the +5.5.
For my next bet I'm going back to the well again and taking Denver -3 against the Jaguars. Denver is at home in mile high and the Jaguars are starting a rookie QB. Denver is still looking for their first win of the year and I expect them to get it here and possibly in a big way. I think their defense finally shows up and forces some turnovers. I just don't think they're going to be 0-4 and if they win it should be at least by 3 and likely more.
Other Games I Kinda Like But Passing
New Orleans is at home this week against the Cowboys and are listed as an underdog at +3. This line is just wrong, it should be pickem or Saints by 1. The Saints will probably win the game but it's a tough one to call with Teddy Bridgewater running the offense so I'll pass for betting purposes.
Next game has the Vikings +2 against the Bears. The Bears played on MNF and are on a short week so I think that gives the Vikings a big advantage even though they're on the road here. This is one of those tough division matchups though where anything can happen which it makes it tough to lay your money down on this game.
Good luck if you're betting!
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