We are heading into the last round of the Champions League group stage. Some of the games will be extremely boring because plenty of teams have nothing to fight for. However, some games might become instant classics. I am talking about Liverpool versus Napoli and Barcelona versus Tottenham. These are the two games I will be watching tonight but there are plenty of other games which have a lot of value to offer for people who are into bets. So, let's see what the Champion League has to offer tonight:
Liverpool - Napoli
Main Bet: Liverpool -1,5 @2.6
Alternative bet: Total goals over 3.5 @2.6
There are plenty of good bets in this match because bookies don't care that Liverpool need to win by at least 2 goals. Bookies ignore such circumstance and offer bets on this game is if it was the first game of the Champions League group stage. However, Liverpool will be pushing Napoli tonight and will not stop after (if) they score the first goal. I do expect a very open game with many opportunities and goals on both sides. Of course, Liverpool would go through if they won 1-0 as well so there is a slight chance that if Liverpool scores the first goal and don't add another fast, they might just start defending. But even then, Napoli would have to start attacking and that would open spaces for Salah and Mane which usually means trouble to opposing teams.
I am a fan of Liverpool since forever but when money is involved, I try to stay objective. And this time, betting on Liverpool is a way to go. I believe that Liverpool and Napoli have 50/50 chances to go through to the playoffs and that is why 2.6 odds are amazing. Also, there is a very high chance to see an early goal so 2.8 odds for the first goal to be scored in the first 15 minutes is also a value bet.
Galasataray - Porto
Main bet: Galasataray to win @2.35
To be honest, I would ideally wait for the line-ups to be announced before making this bet. I do have a feeling that Porto might rest some of their players because this game will have no influence on their standing. On the other side of the pitch, Galasataray will be fighting for the chance to continue their European run in the Europa League. On top of that, Galasataray will be playing at home in front of their passionate fans which will add extra motivation for the players. Most of the big clubs wouldn't care about the Europa League but teams like Galasataray are different - they love to compete in the Europa League, where they actually stand a chance to win it.
Crvena Zvezda - PSG
Main bet: Crvena Zvezda to score a goal @1.93
Crvena Zvezda cannot be ignored when they are playing at home. I am not brave enough to bet on Crvena Zvezda not to lose the game but I can totally see them scoring against PSG. Zvezda play completely different football at Belgrade and it's wonderful to watch. They already beat Liverpool and got a scoreless draw against Napoli this season. That is impressive, isn't it? All that said, I think that PSG will find a way to win tonight because they desperately need those 3 points to clinch their playoff spot. If I had to guess, I would say that the game will end 3:1 in PSG's favor. I wouldn't mind Zvezda winning as well but let's try to stay objective.
Barcelona - Tottenham
Main bet: Tottenham to win @3.6
Tottenham would definitely win at least one out of three games in this situation. I know that they play at Nou Camp against Barcelona but we have to take all things into the consideration and the most important is - Barcelona don't care about this game and might even rest their star players while Tottenham will go all in, trying to win by as many goals as possible. On top of that, Tottenham are playing pretty well lately, so they might even have a chance against the first Barcelona's squad.
I do think that Son is one of the most underrated players in Europe as he can do everything on the pitch. I can see him leaving Tottenham for Real Madrid, PSG or Barcelona in near future. And those big teams should not hesitate to pay over 100 million for Son. On top of that, we have Kane, Alli and Eriksen - players who can win games on their own. I don't say that Tottenham will be favorites tonight but I can totally see them pulling an upset. Last round of the group stage, when favorites are already safe, is always the best time to bet on underdogs who are still fighting for survival. Do you think Tottenham have any chance tonight?
Do you agree with my picks for tonight? Or do you think that bookies placed correct lines and these bets have no value?
P.S. If you take those picks and lose, don't blame me. But if you win, I always accept SCR as a gift of gratitude.
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