Betting / prediction models
Bet Analysis Ukrainian Soccer League
In order to thank friend @barbadosso for founded the Scorum Prediction League (SPL). I made a custom analysis of the Ukrainian Soccer League. I hope that with my information and their knowledge about the league he will improve his betting results (Although at present it does not seem to go wrong). I do not know the Ukrainian League in depth but I have a method of analyzing results based on statistics that we will apply and we will offer some conclusions and betting proposals. I know that Ucrainian Soccer League will stop after next weekend until February 2019, so I made analysis from season day 1 to 16. We can evaluate the results of season day 17 and 18.Scores TableTo make my analysis, I always set my scores table first. Scores Table is the relation of all the scores that have happened during the season, ordered by how many times that have happened. Score Table Ukrainian League until Season Day 16 All the analysis I make using this tableScores AnalysisUkrainian League season day = 6 matches 16 Ukrainian League season day = 16 * 6 matches = 96 matches 20 different score has been happened in 96 matches = 20.83 % matches repeated scores 20.83% of 6 matches = 1.24 matches scores repeated every season dayConclusion #1. 1.24 is really low. That means that the scores are not repeated very often in one season day.17.70% + 14.58% + 11.45% + 11.45% + 9.37% = 64.55% The probability of occurrence of the first 5 results = 64.55% 64.55% of 6 matches = 3.87 matches every season day ended with first 5 scores.Conclusion #2. At least 3 matches ended with first 5 scores every season day.Note: Check it by yourself, I did and it happened. Every season day one of this score (1-0; 0-2; 1-1; 2-1 or 0-1) was in at least 3 matches. Except season day 6 and 13 when happens just 2 times.In Season Day 17 only 2 of 4 matches ended with first 5 scores. So pay attention in matches 5 and 6 at least one of them will end with those scores. Scores 2-1 and 1-0 have priority because they yet have not happens and home teams have not win yet. Analysis Home vs Draw vs AwayHome won 39 matches = 41%. 41% of 6 matches = 2.46 matches won home every season day Away won 38 matches = 39% 39% of 6 matches = 2.34 matches won away every season day Draw 19 matches = 20% 20% of 6 matches = 1.2 matches draw season dayConclusion #3. It is really hard this stats, every season day Home at least won 2 match and Away at least won 2 match but in 3 season day each one did not happens.Analysis Over vs UnderI will focus in Over and Under 2.5.59 matches ended Under 2.5 = 61.45% 61.45% of 6 matches = 3.68 matches ended Under 2.5 every season day. 37 matches ended Over 2.5 = 38.54% 38.54% of 6 matches = 2.31 matches ended Over 2.5 every season day.Conclusion #4. At least 3 matches ended under 2.5 and at least 2 matches ended Over 2.5. Except few season days it allways happened. (Check it yourself).In season day 17 only 2 of 4 matches ended under 2.5. So pay attention in matches 5 and 6 at least one of them will end Under 2.5. Analysis Both Score.53 matches Both not Score = 55% 55% of 6 matches = 3.31 matches both not score every season day. 39 matches Both Score = 41%. 41% of 6 matches = 2.46 matches both score every season dayConclusion #5. At least 2 matches every season day both not score.In season day 17 only 1 of 4 matches ended both not score. So pay attention in matches 5 and 6 at least one of them will end both not score. !! I hope this analysis helps you improve your income !!
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