Betting / sportsbook

costanza
Week 17 Results | 18W-17L-07P | +0.151 Units Profit
I'm making these posts weekly as a way to track my personal pre-game handicapping results along with my live betting action on Belgian Teams. These posts will always contain some insights when it comes down to my general approach and what I do to increase my chance of beating the market. Week 17 was a bit of a roller coaster having a solid Friday & Saturday to give it nearly all back on Sunday leaving the week results at only a handful of cash. As always with these weekly results, variance plays a huge part in them and winning weeks often could have been losing weeks or the other way around based on 1 single goal. I had a couple "lose a little, win a lot" positions that would have made a huge swing up but a ball on the post decided otherwise. This one ball pretty much would have made the weekly profit at +4.378 units instead of 0.151 units. The main key with getting multiple positions in one match that potentially lead up to a jackpot win is to always keep the stakes at risk low so there is never a big downward swing based on a single goal. Biggest loss came in the match on Club Brugge vs Standard match where I was unable to closely follow the match from the start since I was still finishing up my NFL bets and post. I had a 1st half under position just before kick-off because there were some signs for the home team to take a somewhat more defensive approach. The idea that I might have traded out of the position if I would not have been distracted did trigger me a bit when the 1-0 came in the 7th minute and It really threw me off that match. Good lesson on how important focus is when you want to beat these markets and it won't be a mistake I will make again. As each week, quite some of the live bets I took were shared on the SBC Discord #live-betting Channel. Results on those were quite good (5.5W-4L-1.5P) and the only pre-game bet I took extra on (Genk -0.25) in BTC also ended up winning. Discord Live-Bets European Leagues Dortmund 1st Half -0.25 @ 1.819 (0-0 21') HALF LOST Racing Genk -0.25 @ 1.862 (38' 0-0) HALF LOST Discord Live-Bets Belgian League Lokeren 1st Half +0.5 @ 1.870 WON Lokeren vs AA Gent Corners Over 12.5 @ 1.84 (71' 1-9) WON Lokeren vs AA Gent Corners Over 11.5 @ 1.793 (78' 1-9) WON Zulte-Waregem vs Oostende 1st Half Under 1.25 @ 2.01 HALF WON Kortrijk vs Moeskroen Under 4 @ 1.80 (1-0 4') WON Oostende +0.25 @ 1.94 (62' 1-0) WON Club Brugge vs Standard 1st Half Under 1.25 @ 1.86 LOST Club Brugge vs Standard Over 3.75 @ 2.17 (68' 3-0) LOST Anderlecht vs Genk Over 1.5 @ 1.90 (71' 0-1) LOST The Season results graph is now getting closer to what can realistically be expected long-term and I will keep grinding away at it one bet at a time. I already took 1 very early bet this week on Club Brugge -1.25 @ 1.962 away against Waasland but is was impossible to share and the price is gone now given the fact that early odds are quite vulnerable. Let me know in the comments how your betting week was !
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