Sweden are the most underestimated team at 2018 World Cup. Absence of stars, boring play-off vs Italy and even more boring pre-tournament friendlies (3 goalless draws in 6 matches including play-offs) are to blame for that.

But in Russia the Yellow-Blues are at the moment ranked 4th in big chances table (11) and 7th in shots outside the box table (32). Sweden created 1.13 xG vs Switzerland, 2.6 vs Mexico, 1.23 vs Germany, 1.83 vs South Korea. This is on average more than a goal per match, and for a defensive team the figure is just amazing (1.7 per match). England with its regular starting XI conceded 2 goals after set-pieces, and only 4 teams at the tournament shoot more often from dead balls than Sweden.

Marcus Berg is the unluckiest player of the tournament. He leads the shooting list of players who haven't yet scored with 13 shots, and he also had 3 big chances. All his shots are from penalty box, and just two players at 2018 World Cup shot more often from the area: Neymar (15) and Aleksandar Mitrović (14).

The Swedes consistently create several big chances and Berg will be there to finish. He makes 40% of team's shots from the box, and it's time for him to convert them into goals.

Odds for goal Sweden are something about 1.85. A goal by Berg can get you intriguing odds of 5+.

Marcus Berg is also a great pick for your Scorum Draft fantasy team.

Betting / world cup 2018

Sweden will score vs England. Berg will do it

Sweden will score vs England. Berg will do it

Sweden will score vs England. Berg will do it

World Cup Bets: Day 12

World Cup Bets: Day 12

World Cup Bets: Day 12