We are heading into the 4th game week in the Premier League tomorrow with Leicester and Liverpool kicking off @12:30 PM GMT. To me, it will be the most interesting fixture of the week. I would also recommend watching Watford taking on Tottenham. One of the teams will lose their perfect winning record this season. Of course, Tottenham will come to Watford as red hot favorites, but the local team has momentum on their side as well.
Other top 6 clubs will have somewhat easier fixtures. Manchester City will unleash their wrath on Newcastle. Rarely does Man City lose points against mid-table teams, so it would be naive to expect Pep's men to do it twice in a row. Chelsea will play at home versus Bournemouth, and anything less than Chelsea's victory would be a huge surprise to me. Arsenal will go to Cardiff city with 3 points on their minds. After a poor start of the season, Emery will be eager to see his team going on the winning streak against mid-table teams. Aubameyang will be eager to score his first goal.
Quick Tip: I would not suggest buying Aubameyang even with such easy opponents ahead of Arsenal. Aubameyang looks lost, so if you want him, you might be lost at the bottom of the FPL table as well.
Burnley will try to take advantage of poor Manchester United's form, especially in defense. I don't think that United can afford to lose this game if Mourinho wants to keep his job, but as per today, Burnley should score at least one and put a hell of a fight. We will have to wait and see. For now, let's look at my team:
After a terrible GW3, I have dropped to the 6th position in Scorum-fans/SBC League, and I am 32 points away from the leader. The total of 222 points in 3 rounds is not a bad average, but I would love to improve that. That's why I had to make a transfer:
Richarlison out - Schurrle in. Richarlison got 3 games ban and will lose his value soon. I have sold him for 6.6 million and plan to buy him back (if I feel like I still need him) after 3-5 weeks for 6.5 million. I bought Schurrle to replace Richarlison. Schurrle has lost his value and only cost 5.9 million today even after he had a massive game last week against Burnley. I am pretty sure that he has clinched his spot in the starting XI now. He is almost playing as a forward, and I cannot see why I would not want him on my team for this price.
Quick Tip: 0.1 million might not seem important early on, but by the end of the season when all those 0.1s add up (especially if you make transfers on a right time), your budget might be at least a few millions higher. So think long term.
Goalkeeper
It is time for Ederson to keep a clean sheet. Manchester City is so concentrated on attacking that they sometimes forget to defend, which is not good if you have Ederson on your team, but sooner or later those clean sheets will start coming in. I expect sooner...
Expected points: 6
Defenders
My defenders did well last week, and it was them who collect the majority of the points. Robertson is a perfect player this season as he is not only getting points for clean sheets but also earns lots of bonus points. I love him. He got 3 bonus points last week even though he did not assist or score a goal. That is a rare achievement.
I am falling in love with Alonso as well. I bought him last week, and he paid off right away with 2 assists and 3 bonus points. Chelsea are playing home against a weak Bournemouth side, so a clean sheet is expected. Also, I would love to see Alonso scoring again. After all, he got 10+ points for 3 weeks in a row now, why not make it 4?
Van Aaholt will finally have a chance to score some points. Crystal Palace will be playing home against a team of their caliber so van Aaholt will get a chance to join the team on the attack. Also, a clean sheet is probable.
Mendy is Mendy. I expect him to score 10+ points every week that Man City plays at home against a mid-table team. Of course, Newcastle proved last week that they know how to defend against strong teams, but imo, giving Man City 80% possession would be the dumbest decision of Rafa Benitez career. I am making Mendy my captain this week. Aguero might be another option, but I want to go with a safe call this time.
Quick Tip: Prioritize buying fullbacks instead of central-backs. We all know that Van Dijk is the most important defender for Liverpool, but he is a bad pick to your FPL squad because he never joins the team on attack. As you can see, all my defenders are fullbacks, and they keep bringing points home.
Expected points: 40+
Midfielders
I am a little concerned about Pedro now that Hazard is back. It looks like Pedro is playing deeper now and also has much less control of the ball. It was a bad decision to buy him. Gladly, it is Willian who loses his spot on the starting XI but not Pedro. And still, Pedro is a class player and can score/assist anytime. Also, Chelsea should have an easy game, meaning that attacking players will have a lot of freedom.
Schurrle was the best player on the pitch last week when Fulham played against Burnley. Also, he managed to score his first goal this season which will boost up his confidence. Schurrle has lost a lot of value in the first games of the season, and that makes him a very attractive player now. I am taking a risk with him. To be on top in FPL, we all have to pick our wildcards. For me, it is Schurrle.
Mane is always dangerous in the attack no matter what the opponent is. Of course, beating Leicester won't be an easy task, but that also means that Liverpool will probably need more than just 1 goal to reach a positive result.
Mkhitaryan gets his chances to score almost every game. He enjoys taking shots outside of the box, and he is also good at making runs into the box. I am happy with his quality/price ratio and keeping him for now. Iwobi and Mkhi are the two players that live up to expectations right now.
Quick Tip: If I did not have Mkhitaryan on my team, I would buy Iwobi for sure. He is extremely cheap, but that doesn't stop him from slowly earning his spot in the starting XI.
Quick Tip 2: If you want to bandwaggon, buy Lucas Moura. He is showing a monster form so far, and I see no reason for him to stop. I will not buy him just yet, but if you need someone relatively cheap and capable of scoring, Lucas Moura is your pick.
Expected points: 23
Forwards
I wanted to sell Firmino this week, but Richarlison completely changed all my plans. Well, Firmino might thank his fellow Brazilian for another chance to prove to me that he is someone I should keep. Yes, professional football players do care if they are on my team or not...
There is something about the Etihad stadium that makes Aguero play with triple the energy. I would be surprised if he doesn't score at least one goal tomorrow. Everything else is a welcome bonus.
Expected points: 13
Total expected points: 92
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