playoff seeding, but the Jets (4-9) would love to play spoiler as coach Todd Bowles makes a case to keep his job. The Texans are seven-point favorites in the latest Texans vs. Jets odds, and the over-under for total points is set at 44 after rising steadily throughout the week. Before laying any Saturday NFL predictions, be sure to check out the Texans vs. Jets picks from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. SportsLine's proprietary computer model went 176-80 last season and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Office Pool players in 2016 and '17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.
The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018, entering Week 15 on a blistering 16-3 run. For the season, it is now 30-12 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 78-46. And when it comes to all straight-up picks, the model finished Week 14 at 139-67 on the season, ranking in the top two on NFLPickWatch.com. Anyone who has followed it is way, way up.
Now the model has dialed in on Jets vs. Texans, the second of 16 NFL games this week. We can tell you it's leaning Over, but it's also generated a point-spread pick that's hitting well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see that one at SportsLine.
The model has factored in the Texans' incredibly strong run this season after an 0-3 start. Houston won nine straight after that trio of losses before a tight 24-21 defeat at the hands of the Colts last Sunday.
Even with the setback, the Texans have completely transformed their postseason outlook. Viewed as an underachiever early in the season, Houston is now firmly in the driver's seat in the AFC South, entering this matchup with a two-game lead. If the Texans beat the Jets, and the Titans and Colts lose, they'll clinch the division. That gives Houston plenty of incentive to put together a complete performance and stay relevant in the NFL playoff picture.
But just because the Texans have plenty to play for doesn't mean they'll cover on Saturday.
The Jets got Sam Darnold back under center last week and broke a six-game losing streak in a win over the Bills. Darnold hurt his foot in that matchup, but is expected to still be in the lineup Saturday, helping open up an offense that was largely dormant during the recent losing streak.
And even though the Jets have struggled against the spread this season (5-8), four of those five covers came with Darnold at the helm.