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My Betting Strategy

I always pick 4 teams over/under points difference. For example Orland Magic to win by 4 or more points @5/2 and same with other teams. I then place doubles, trebles and the 4fold bets.

Example:

$60 across 4fold doubles

$40 across 4fold trebles

$10 on the 4fold

Usually I try to get this full return to add to around 20+/1. Spreading the money across doubles and trebles takes away from the max return but reduces the risk factor (because we all know there is guaranteed to be a few stinkers throughout the week of basketball). Then it seems averages against the book makers is only down to marginal decision and research because they don't analyse the full game H2H, player by player.

If I get 2 out of 4 teams I average around a 30% loss but if I get 3/4 average a 250% profit. So really for the most part every night the betting is battling between getting 50/75% correct. If you analyse games even partly well you can find a decent money making margin with this.

My 4 Picks for 15/11/18

Orlando Magic v Philadelphia 76ers

Orlando Magic -3.5

Orlando is an outside choice (obviously) I feel the odds and home court suit them.

Toronto Raptors v Detroit Pistons

Toronto Raptors -9.5

Obviously a very strong team just coming off an unexpected loss. Bound to bounce back.

Milwaukee Bucks v Memphis Grizzlies

Milwaukee Bucks -9.5

Last few games have been less dominant, Grizzlies weaker on the road, could be an even larger margin.

Oklahoma City Thunder v New York Knicks

OKC -12.5

Even without Westbrook OKC have been lethal on the court. The Knick being the complete opposite and even worse on the road.

I believe the Nets also have a good chance as an outsider if you don't want to put in Orlando or you want to have bigger odds for the accumulator. The Nets winning by 5 isn't unrealistic but will pay 2/1 or better. Also there should be even more room for The Raptors and The Bucks to win by more but we shall see hopefully is a good night of Basketball, best of luck all!