Last Week's Picks
Jackson 19.98
A Jones 19.60
Lindsay 15.10
Sanders N/A
Fitzgerald 10.50
Pettis 13.90
Thomas 16.70
Jets 11.00
Nice week. No ceiling was crazy high but some of these picks were probably fairly useful. I was able to cash but didn't make a ton. The pivot to Sutton killed me a bit in some lineups. Looking back I should have recommended riding the Bruce Ellington train (in cash) again till his price exceeded 4k. Either way I've had worse calls 😂🤣
On to the week 15 slate
QB - Dak Prescott $5500 @ Indianapolis
Since the trade for Amari Cooper just before Dallas’ Thanksgiving game, Prescott's passing game has seen a massive upgrade. Pre Amari Cooper Dak was attempting roughly 29 attempts per game with 8 touchdowns and 4 interceptions in 7 games for 1417 yards. He was completing around 62% of his passes and failing to reach 200 yards passing in 4 of 7 games. He was making up a decent amount of fantasy production with his legs but typically wasn't enough to keep him relevant when getting less than 30 yards. After the trade Dak's attempts shot up to an average of 35 per game, 9 passing TDs and 3 ints for 1714 yards in 6 games. He's also brought his completion percentage up by 10 points (in comparison) to 72%, has failed to throw for under 200 yards, and is averaging around 80 passing yards per game more. His rushing yardage totals have taken a dip which can be concerning for fantasy but he's been able to rush for 3 touchdowns in the 6 game span vs 2 in the previous 7 without Cooper. Dak still has a decent chance to steal TD rushes close to the end zone with his athletic abilities and still has a rushing attempt floor around 3 per game. I think Dak makes for an excellent cash or gpp play this week on the road.
RB - David Johnson $7100 @ Atlanta
I believe Johnson is still a stud back in this league with just too many hurdles in his way this year. The Cards have been a disaster but it's hard to consider not playing Johnson in a spot like this. I've mentioned a lot of matchups against the falcons defense this year. They struggle to stop basically every offense they've faced this year and nearly every QB they've faced has finished in the top 15 or higher. I certainly don't think we'll see a QB 1 type of week out of Josh Rosen or anything but the matchup could be good for DJs floor. Johnson is still getting workhorse touches and with limited weapons for the cards that should without a doubt continue. Atlanta is also allowing nearly 160 total yards per game and 1 TD per game to the position. Johnson looks like a decent floor play in cash games and a possible GPP play. Fair warning though it's still the Cardinals offense and recently flukey things like Chase Edmonds (who I love and should be stashed in dynasty leagues) take goal line work.
RB - Tevin Coleman $4200 vs Atlanta
Honestly there isn't a ton of good things to say about Coleman. A lot of fans were waiting for this type of opportunity for him and he's basically face planted in most weeks. Coleman had a pretty intriguing price last week at $4400 and DK is just waiving a carrot in our faces, begging us to play him again after dropping his price due to meh play. Well challenge accepted DK algorithm!! My main reason for accepting this challenge would be the Cardinals coming into town. I'd expect the Falcons to play the run at home vs a very beatable and low scoring Cardinals offense. Arizona's defense is much more exploitable on the ground and as mentioned are no threat for a shootout so If Atlanta gets out to a 2 score leaders early we could finally see Coleman have a productive game for the first time since week 8 against Washington where he put up 32.6 fantasy points. But really since he's been so terrible he shouldn't be anything more than a GPP play. Should be pretty low owned too.
WR - Allen Robinson $5500 vs Green Bay
Robinson has been seeing some steady targets this season but it hasn't been resulting in a ton of fantasy production. I think it's his QB play. Trubiski is really finding his groove this year and making big plays. He's an excellent scrambling QB but still needs to craft his throwing accuracy. He's got one of the leagues worst deep pass completion percentages, and oftentimes throws into crowds. It is very refreshing to see young guys with no fear of slinging the rock. If he can improve his passing game in the next year there is no doubt he'll be one of the best dual threat QBs in the league. With all that said Robinson has been getting tons of looks all year. He's receiving around 21% of the teams target share and has had no less than 4 looks in any game. Robinson could be a sneaky cash play this week vs Green Bay's talented but young corners. You'll just be hoping he can convert some passes and hopefully rid his 4 game TD drought. Even if he cant you should still see a nice floor with his current workload.
WR - Dante Pettis $4400 vs Seattle
Just keep throwing him in your cash lineups. I don't see Pettis’ workload decreasing anytime soon especially with Nick Mullens at QB. Lock and load in cash or gpp.
WR - Taylor Gabriel $4200 vs Green Bay
2nd in targets on the bears depth chart is Gabriel. Gabriel is always a decent gamble in gpps with his great lateral speed. This year the bears have been getting him much more involved and are finding creative ways to do it. Unfortunately he suffers from similar issues as teammate Allen Robinson. With lack of touchdowns recently and low yardage totals either Chicago wide receiver is a decent play for gpp and cash games, but if you are playing in gpps I'd go Gabriel based on his price and ability to be able to take the top off a defense on any play.
TE - Cameron Brate $4000 @ Baltimore
While Baltimore has been excellent defending the pass vs wide receivers the same can't be said vs tight end. On average Baltimore gives up around 5 receptions and 66 yards per game to the position. The only times they were able to suppress tight end production this season was against Bills, Broncos, and Titans. None of those teams really had a tight end of consequence this season and we've seen the rapport Brate has with Jameis Winston. If you aren't paying up for Kittle and want to save some extra dough I'd go Brate this week although I wouldn't knock anyone playing Jared Cook vs Cincinnati for a few hundred more.
Defense - Washington $2400 @ Jacksonville
Low scoring shit show that should provide us with sacks and possible turnovers
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