NFL / fantasy sports
Fantasy Football Playoffs: The Real Battle is About to Begin!!
Another season of Fantasy Football is in the books and if you were one of the lucky ones, you are about to start your fantasy playoffs and hopefully a run to the championship. This is the time of year where every game counts. A win and your dreams of fantasy glory continue, lose and you are done and you become the brunt of fantasy ridicule. I created in Meme Generator Tonight marks the beginning of the fantasy playoffs in most leagues. Most leagues end in week 13. This allows the playoffs to take place over weeks 14, 15, and 16. This is done because in many cases, teams have wrapped up playoff spots by week 17 and star players are often rested. There is nothing fun about getting to the fantasy championship game and having half your team being rested before the NFL playoffs. There are some leagues that continue into week 14 and end up using week 17 as a championship game week but they are dumb in my honest opinion. Source With the fantasy regular season over, I thought it would be a good time to reflect back on my teams from this year. Yes, I said team! I am a fantasy football junkie and I play in several fantasy football leagues. This year I was in 5 leagues total. There of these leagues are keeper leagues (1 is actually a dynasty league) and two others are just single-season leagues that I do for fun. I will quickly break down the good, bad and the ugly from each of the leagues and assess my chances at a fantasy championship which to be perfectly honest are slim and none! The good news is that I only missed the playoffs in one league this year!!! Source Yahoo - 7 Player Keeper League (10th year) $100 Entry Fee (10 teams) Team Name: Raging Broncos This is my longest running fantasy league and the one that matters to me the most to me. I was the champion in this league two years ago and then missed the playoffs last year and almost finished last. I wish I would have finished last because that would have given me Saquon Barkley with the first overall pick. To make matters worse, I picked Royce Freeman with the 2nd overall pick. There's a 1st round pick down the toilet, thanks Phillip Lindsay. This year has been a Jeckle and Hyde season for this team as I just couldn't get any consistency. My team has been lead by my two young stud RB's McCaffrey and Mixon along with WR Devote Adams who I acquired in a straight up trade for AJ Green on draft night. The playoffs were in doubt right up until the final week. Going into the last week I was sitting in 7th place. I needed to win and have one of two other teams lose to tie for 6th place. I had the tiebreaker over both teams. As luck would have it, I did win and both of the teams lost so I leaped up into 5th place and a playoff spot. I have a dangerous team that could really do some damage. Yahoo - 13 Player Dynasty League (6th year) $100 Entry Fee (10 teams) Team Name: Orange Crush This is the most complex of the leagues that I am part of. With 13 keepers, the pool of players to select from in the draft each year is very small. It is basically a draft of rookies to the NFL and in many cases a crap shoot after round 1. I have been to the finals 2 times in this league but have come up short both times. This year I selected 8th overall and was able to snag Calvin Ridley who looked great at the start of the season but has cooled off a lot. My strength in this league has been my WR's. Tyreek Hill and AJ Green helped me secure a solid start along with Big Ben at QB. I took a late flyer on AP this year which has paid off great. I had a rough finish to the year after blowing a game by over managing a few weeks ago but finished with an 8-5 record and 4th place. My confidence in this team is very low at this point as injuries have depleted my talent. I really need season-long disappointments like Howard and McCoy to step up if I am to have any chance in the playoffs. NFL.com - 4 Player Keeper League (2nd year) $100 Entry Fee (10 teams) Team Name: Mile High Club This is a league that I was a last minute entry into last year. A few friends from an old workplace were starting a league and needed one more person so they contacted me. They knew that I would have a hard time saying no and of course, I was all in. I won the championship last year in the first ever season of this league. I Got really lucky with my draft last year with Hunt and Fournette both being studs. I was also able to pull off a slick move after my 1st round pick, OBJ, went down. I traded him and my 1st this year for AJ Green. Let's just say I ran away with the league. Fast forward to this year and you have a completely different story. Fournette spent most of the year hurt and AJ was very up and down until he said goodbye a few weeks ago. Hunt was great up until the week when I needed him most and he said goodbye to the NFL. Even with James Connor, I could never get any traction or put together a few wins in a row. Going into the last week, I was sitting in 6th place. A win and I would make the playoffs. Sadly, I lost and every team that needed to win to jump me did. There will be no back to back championship for me in this one. Already looking to next year. If I had made the playoffs in this league, it would have been a short run. I just lost Sanders for the season as well. Yahoo - Redraft League $25 Entry Fee (10 teams) Team Name: Mile High Club This is a league I threw together for a few family members that are just getting their feet wet in the fantasy football world. Let's say it is more like they are swimming in the fantasy lake. They jumped right in and have fallen in love. Even though one of them drafted all Patriots in a year where the Patriots are not scoring much. The fun part of this league is that I filled out the remaining spots by putting a call out on fantasy football blogs and we have members from all over North America. My draft was brutal in this league and after the 1st three rounds, I was really not happy with what I was having to select. Melvin Gordon and Tyreek Hill managed to help me coast to an easy playoff spot but I have little confidence in this team doing anything against the powerhouse leaders who seemed to draft with amazing luck. NFL.com - BrosScorum Redraft League - Free (10 teams) Team Name: Mile High Club This was a last minute league that I joined here on Scorum through the BrosSports family. It was actually started in week 2 and runs through to next week. The playoffs were cut down by a week and so it will still end in week 16 and only 4 teams make the playoffs. This might be the strangest fantasy league that I have ever been a part of. I have one of the most prolific scoring teams in the league, scoring the second most points by a long shot. I actually wrote a post about this a few weeks ago. The thing is, I have the highest points against by a country mile!! Somehow, everyone seems to have their best weeks against me and so I have been floundering in the standing most of the year. I am currently 7-5 and safely in the playoffs. I can see a championship i the future in this league!! Well, there you have it. My fantasy year in a nutshell. I made the playoffs in 4 out of 5 leagues this year and once you get in, anything can happen. At this point, all we can do is hope that our players catch fire at the end of the season and the fantasy gods see fit for your team to stay injury free. I will update you at the end of the playoffs to let you know how I made out. With any luck, I will have a trophy on my mantle before New Year's. How did your fantasy leagues go? How many leagues do you play in? I'd love to hear about your results this year.
Week 14 Bargain Plays DK
Last Week's Picks Cousins 10.04 Lindsay 31.90 Edwards 8.20 Coutee N/A Sutton 18.50 Ellington 10.50 Uzomah 8.30 Miami 9.00 Last week wasn't the worst with some of my picks but as a whole could've been a lot better. Edwards and Cousins had to be the massive pile of shit in people's turd sandwiches in cash this week. I'm sure a lot of people like myself expected Edwards to be a free square cash play with his matchup. It's football, shit happens. On to week 14…...just an FYI I won't be doing a week 17 blog. QB - Lamar Jackson $5700 @ Kansas City If he's still the starter next week plug him in, in cash games. Fumbles, interceptions, it just doesn't matter. Jackson has been displaying the craziest rushing floor we've seen in a long time nearly giving you 2 TDs worth of points in rushing yardage, and this week he faces another soft defense in Kansas City. If the Ravens can keep pace at all on the road they'll have to put up tons of points, and if the raiders could do it last week why not Baltimore with Lamar Jackson? RB - Aaron Jones $7400 vs Atlanta The Falcons are taking the leagues 7th worst run defense on the road to face the Packers who have finally taken the training wheels off midway through this year and letting their man smash. He hasn't seen under 14 touches since the Packers bye week(7) and has 7 touchdowns through those weeks. With Aaron Rodgers still most likely feeling the effects of his knee injury earlier on in the season, and Green Bay no longer pretending their other backs (J. Williams, Ty Montgomery traded) are skilled Jones is primed to smash for the rest of the season but especially this week at home. RB - Phillip Lindsay $6300 @ San Francisco YOU PLAY LINDSAY UNTIL DK DECIDES TO PRICE HIM CORRECTLY!!! Game Script doesn't matter. Ahead or losing Lindsay is their man and 2nd rounder Royce Freeman is strictly at goal line duty. No need to elaborate a ton Don't hesitate vs San Francisco. WR - Emmanuel Sanders $6200 @ San Francisco Sanders was most likely a let down for many people last week but he should be a regular plug and play still if you've been relying on him. He's got awesome chemistry with Case Keenum only logging under 6 targets in just 2 games this season. His fantasy outing of 5.9 points was nearly half of his previous low prior to last week's game. I'd expect a positive regression this week as long as Keenum is able to have an average game. And given they are playing the 9ers on the road it may not be a terrible idea to stack Lindsay, Keenum, and Sanders together. Fuck it, if you're gonna play a tournament play Sutton and the Broncos D while you are at it! WR - Larry Fitzgerald $4900 vs Detroit With Christian Kirk headed to IR they're completely void of many options there. That gives around 6+ targets a game to go around to the 2 viable weapons they have Larry Fitz and David Johnson. I can't really see Seals Jones getting anymore targets than he already is especially since he's done squat with the nearly 20% target share he's had all season. Also factor in that Fitz plays on the inside so he won't be shadowed by shutdown corner Darius Slay. Somebody has to catch the ball and it should be one of the league all time greats. WR - Dante Pettis $4400 vs Denver This game is setup to be a smashfest for running back Matt Breida against Denver's beatable rush defense but it's hard not to expect another decent outing from Pettis whose role should be continuing to grow at this point. Injuries and other issues to fellow wide receivers Marquise Goodwin, and Pierre Garcon have opened the floodgates for the rookie from Washington and he's made the most of every opportunity in the past 2 weeks racking up 9 receptions, and 3 touchdowns on 14 targets. Even in week 10 when he logged half the snaps he was beginning to draw targets (6) from QB Nick Mullens. If both receivers are still out for Sunday's game he could be a sneaky cash play, but he's a strong consideration for tournaments either way. TE - Ian Thomas $2700 @ Cleveland After Greg Olsen Exited last week's game Ian Thomas was very productive vs a Tampa Defense that has struggled all year posting 5 receptions on 5 targets for 46 yards. When it comes to rookie tight end production it's hard to expect a ton and while he's not blowing up the stat sheet when given opportunities he's been able to draw a lot of targets from Cam Newton. Earlier in the year when Olsen was out Thomas was able to get 16 looks in 4 games seeing a steady increase each game over that time. And while he wasn't able to completely take advantage of the bad defenses they faced just seeing that his workload, and yards per reception increase over that span shows a lot of promise for an inexperienced player, playing one of the toughest skill positions in the game. He's had a little more time to learn the ropes and with Olsen expected to miss extended time and a decent matchup vs a Browns defense that gives up around 6 receptions and 60 yards per game, Thomas looks to be an excellent cash and tournament play at his price. In my opinion the only options this week aren't going for Kelce then pay all the way down for Thomas. Defense - NY Jets $2700 @ Buffalo Similar to last weeks pick with Miami this should be a shit show of a game with a relatively low score and decent upside for sacks and turnovers so that makes the Bills D a viable option as well. Normally I'd favor the home defense in these situations but at $800 less gimme the Jets. The downside here could be that the Bills actually have a good defense and I wouldn't at all be surprised to see a pick 6 or fumble recovery for a TD.
Week 13 Bargain Plays Draftkings
QB - Kirk Cousins $5500 @ New England This price makes little sense to me but I don't care. Thanks for the gift Draftkings. Cousins is currently ranked #2 in pass attempts, has the 2nd best completion percentage. Combine that with one of the league's best wide receiver duos to accompany him. This is a no brainer start everywhere play. RB - Phillip Lindsay $5400 @ Cincinnati Lindsay is the clear cut lead back in Denver. He's logged at least 10 touches in every game he's finished. Even after teammate Royce Freeman has returned from his 3 week absence due to injury, he has failed to log more than 7 carries in the past 2 games. It's hard to tell what sort of game script we'll see out of Denver considering Cincinnati will be without starting QB Andy Dalton. Assuming Cincinnati will be able to keep up pace, I see Lindsay as a strong play vs their weak run defense. If the game were to get out of hand for the Bengals, there would be a slight chance they go with Freeman later and play ball control. I wouldn't worry about that in the slightest though. RB - Gus Edwards $4800 @ Atlanta Pretty simple really. Ride the hot hand at this price in tournaments. We've seen the Ravens flip flop their backs before and Alex Collins recent injury is helping Edwards remain on the field. Atlanta has been awful against the run and pass catching running backs this year. WR - Keke Coutee $4700 vs Cleveland Last week was a bit of a disappointing outing for Coutee only reeling in 2 passes for 14 yards on 2 targets. He's had a lingering hamstring injury all year and it came popping back up on Monday night. With that said while the Titans offense has looked pretty sloppy, but their defense has quietly been playing pretty well especially in the middle of the field. If Coutee is able to suit up this matchup will be a perfect bounce back opportunity. Cleveland is pretty weak in the middle of the field defensively, and with no tight end absorbing a lot of targets Coutee may be able to return to his early season greatness that we saw. Out of his 6 starts he's had 2 dud games of 5 total targets but those were games he was forced out of early. In his 4 other starts he saw an average of 9 with 36 targets. WR - Courtland Sutton $4200 @ Cincinnati He's logging a ton of snaps and still getting an extra target per game since Demaryius Thomas left but it just hasn't come together for him. I think some of his lack of success can be blamed on Case Keenum, but at this price with this matchup I think it's worth it to give him another go in tourney's. WR - Bruce Ellington $3500 vs LA Rams Bruce Ellington is easily the best value cash or tournament play this week. He's barely had time to look at the playbook and has already been commanding 16 targets over the past 2 games and put up some decent numbers. Add in Marvin Jones being on IR now and Ellington seems like a slam dunk play especially if he stays in the slot which I fully expect. He should be able to easily produce in a game where the Lions should be behind. TE - CJ Uzomah $3400 vs Denver Denver is currently ranked 9th worst vs tight ends. Last week Uzomah received 13 targets vs a Browns defense who also has trouble stopping the position. Over the past 7 weeks he's logged around a 96% snap share and he's running a ton of routes. He's also working with a fairly inexperienced starting QB in Jeff Driskel. It's no guarantee that adds anything but it could be possible. Uzomah entered the year as the tight end 3 and has most likely taken a lot of reps with Driskell in the past, and even if that wasn't the case Uzomah presents a lot more upside than most guys just given that he's on the field a ton. You could do a hell of a lot worse in this price range. Defense - Miami $2700 vs Buffalo Both teams have pretty garbage offenses and I'd imagine this game will be pretty low scoring. Over their last 3 games Miami has racked up 8 turnovers and 7 sacks. You could go with the bills too, but I'd take the home team defense here and easily count on a couple of sacks and turnovers. This is one of the best defensive plays this week.