Tennis / atp paris masters 1000
Djokovic vs Khachanov: Paris Masters ATP Final
This is just a quick blog to say I am going for Khachanov tonight. Having lost the past 6 predictions in a row I am evens since starting my blog in terms of hypothetical returns on bets. I am 11-12 on bets now having been 11-6 not so long ago. Khachanov has surprised me this week and he has gone against my impressions of him against some tough opponents including Dominic Thiem in the last match and Alexander Zverev before. I feel he can give Djokovic a run for his money and with his odds being 5.20 to win, I think he's worth a punt given his recent form. He is a big aggressive player who has a chance to edge out of Djokovic should the serb have an off day on court. Let's wait and see if I am lucky or not! Update: Khachanov Takes It in Straight Sets! I am quickly updating this post via phone to explain quickly my reasoning a little further behind this prediction that came true tonight. I had previously gone for a Zverev win vs Khachanov in the Quarters and having watched him get obliterated by the Russian even when taking into account the Germans shoulder injury I was impressed by how effective the Russian was at the back of the court with his uncompromising heavy hitting in particular off the forehand. I didn't watch him play Thiem but having watched Thiem almost loose to Sock I wasnt surprised to see him lose in straight sets to Khachanov. Then last night I sat up watching Federer almost beat Djokovic in a 3 hour plus match. Afterwards I just thought what a waste of my time, my prediction didn't come true, its now 2am and I am still feeling flu like. What I did get from that 3 hours of observation was an idea of how Djokovic was hitting this tournament. Although the world number one did well to neutralise the Swiss power from the back he wasnt licking the lines that often and instead was helped by a high unforced error count by Federer. I had a feeling Khachanov would have a chance against Djokovic after watching these 3 matches because I knew although he hits with power his net clearance is greater than Federer's, he has been hitting with more confidence than the Swiss and his serve is also bigger too. Yes it was still speculative given Djokovics form but it wasn't speculation without any sort of incline! Still what a result for the Russian, winning his first Masters title and doing it against a seemingly unstoppable opponent and this year's US Open and Wimbledon Champion!
Paris Masters: Federer vs Djokovic the Rematch!
The match we all wanted to see is happening tonight at the Paris Masters Semi Final. Yes Federer and Djokovic have both come through their previous matches with strong displays against worthy opponents, Federer against Nishikori yesterday where he scored a straight sets victory and only allowed one break point opportunity the whole match to Nishikori. Djokovic's match vs Cilic was a bit more of a cagey affair where the new World Number 1 had to come from a set down to take out Cilic. The most interesting part about this encounter tonight is the actual odds on Federer to win. Never before have I seen him at 3.20 to win over Djokovic. These are mouthwatering odds that I never expected to see, even given recent history and how well Djokovic has performed in the past 4 months. Just a quick recap on the Serb, he has won 2 Grand Slams and 2 Masters Titles, something no one ever expected to happen given his form in the lead up and during the French Open. Federer has not had as an illustrious year as Djokovic, in particular the second half which has seen the Swiss pick up just two 500 trophies in Stuttgart and Basel this month. He has failed to win a single Masters unlike last year where at this point he had won three. Nevertheless he hasn't had a particular bad year overall. Winning the Australian Open in January is his highlight so there is no doubt he will be keen to finish the year strong and will have his sights set on winning both the Paris Masters and the London ATP finals. The only problem is Djokovic is standing in his way of achieving both and he won't be an easy obstacle to shift - indeed he is the immovable object that the Swiss has not managed to shift for a long time. Watch: Djokovic Defeat Federer in Their Last Encounter in Cincinatti to Win His Golden Masters You have to go back as far as the ATP London Finals in 2015 to find when Federer last beat Djokovic. In there past three encounters Fed-Ex has only managed to win one set out of a possible seven on offer. The signs do not look good for the 37 year old veteran star but on his day he is still capable of catching Djokovic off guard as he did Nadal on three separate occasions in 2017. Federer cannot afford to play into Djokovic's hands by being conservative full stop, he must be extra aggressive to have a chance of winning tonight. Djokovic is a stern defender of the ball so believing he can win with shots that are not licking the lines will only seal is fate as a hopeless loser to Djokovic, not just here but until he eventually retires - which will be a real shame for himself and his fans. Djokovic has a far more successful history in Paris, unlike Federer who has only one won in Paris one time back in 2011, Djokovic has won this title 3 times in a row from 2013 to 2015. He is going into this match with supreme confidence having captured the Shanghai Masters where Federer failed to meet him in the final when he lost out to Coric in straight sets in the Semi's. Coric was beaten in straight sets in the final by Djokovic showing just how more easily Nole has been disposing of his opposition recently compared to Federer. Still even a broken clock is right twice a day and with myself losing my last five predictions, even with some of those matches proving close affairs, here I am once again going for Federer rather than against him. I am currently 11-11 on my predictions blog. Match Prediction: Take Federer at 3.25 to win tonight outright. I think he has a 40% chance to pull this off so his odds are better than what I would expect. Djokovic is going to come into this match with an invincible attitude and rightly so. There is only one way for Federer to win and that is on his own terms, not waiting for Djokovic to make errors. vs Nishikori, Fed served at a low percentage of 52% for first serves in, he will need to add 20% to that to beat Djokovic. Staggeringly on his first serve Federer won 97% of points against Nishikori. If he can increase his first serve percentage substantially he has a chance here against the best defender on tour. Could we see a performance similar to the standard of the 2017 Australian Open? Here's hoping so for all Federer fans out there! To be honest I am not a big Federer fan, I do like Djokovic equally and think he is an exceptional player so I am not bias towards this result on that account, I just like Federer's odds here.
Anderson vs Nishikori Rerun: Paris Masters
Just a quick post I'm putting out there for a rerun of the previous tournament final in Vienna where I had Anderson to beat Nishikori. The result is likely to go down the same way in Paris and with Anderson at 2.0 to win he's still good odds here to win again. I see no reason why this won't happen a second time in 2 weeks, especially given Andersons strong performance in overcoming the Georgian and Beijing ATP winner in the last round. Anderson will be looking for a strong finish before the London ATP finals and he will likely be Nishikoris undoing once again here. Watch the South Africans serve dominate the match again and prove the key difference between two players in excellent form. Take Anderson at 2.0 to win in Paris tonight.