PREMIER LEAGUE
OUTRIGHT MARKET
Key Trends11/13 winners finished in the first three the previous season
9/13 winners scored more than 80 points the previous season
9/9 of the last reigning champions didn't successfully defend their title
PREMIER LEAGUE
TOP GOALSCORER MARKET
Key Trends
Last 12 winners:
Henry 27 (Arsenal)
Drogba 20 (Chelsea)
Ronaldo 31 (Man Utd)
Anelka 19 (Chelsea)
Drogba 29 (Chelsea)
Berbatov/Tevez 20 (Man Utd/Man City)
Van Persie 30 (Arsenal)
Van Persie 26 (Man Utd)
Suarez 31 (Liverpool)
Aguero 26 (Man City)
Harry Kane 25 (Tottenham)
Harry Kane 29 (Tottenham)
Mo Salah 32 (Liverpool)
Gives us these significant statistics to concentrate on:
Average goals last 12 seasons = 26.08
Average goals last 5 seasons = 27.40
9/13 winners won scoring 26+ goals
12/13 winners were centre forwards/strikers
11/13 winners played for Chelsea, Man Utd, Man City, Arsenal and Tottenham
2/13 winners played for that season’s Champions
PREMIER LEAGUE
RELEGATION MARKET
Key Trends
Average goals per season of relegated teams:
2010/11 = 45.00
2011/12 = 44.67
2012/13 = 40.00
2013/14 = 33.33
2014/15 = 32.67
2015/16 = 36.67
2016/17 = 31.00
2017/18 = 31.33
There is a definite trend over this period that the relegated teams have gone down scoring fewer and fewer goals per season. That means an emphasis on scoring goals is paramount.
CHAMPIONSHIP
OUTRIGHT MARKET
Key Trends
11/14 winners previous season finishing position was either a top seven finish in the Championship or were relegated from the Premier League
9/14 winners of the Championship won having scored on average 2 or more goals per match, meaning an emphasis on scoring/attacking football
CHAMPIONSHIP
TOP GOALSCORER MARKET
Key Trends
11/14 Top Scorers played for a club that went on to finish 7th or higher that season
6/7 of the last 6 winners scored 25+ goals to win it
CHAMPIONSHIP
RELEGATION MARKET
Key Trends
There’s a massively strong trend in the last eight seasons when it comes to relegation and it is this:
17/24 relegated teams either finished 16th to 21st in the Championship the previous season OR were promoted from League 1 the previous season
LEAGUE 1
OUTRIGHT MARKET
Key Trends
12/14 winners either played in the Championship the season before or finished between 10th – 13th in League 1 the season before
LEAGUE 1
TOP GOALSCORER MARKET
Key Trends
6/8 last eight winners played for a team that went on to finish in the top four of League 1 that season
LEAGUE 1
RELEGATION MARKET
Key Trends
There’s no real trend as regards League 1 relegation.
LEAGUE 2
OUTRIGHT MARKET
Key Trends
11/14 winners either finished in the top 8 in League 2 the previous season or had played in League 1 the previous season
LEAGUE 2
TOP GOALSCORER MARKET
Key Trends
There’s no real trend as regards League 2 top goalscorer.
LEAGUE 2
RELEGATION MARKET
Key Trends
With only two teams going down there’s a trend that in six of the last eight seasons at least one of those teams relegated every season was one which had finished 17th-22nd in League 2 the previous season.
FA CUP
OUTRIGHT MARKET
Key Trends
12/13 winners were Premier League teams
11/13 winners were Premier League teams that finished in the top four the previous season
EFL CUP
OUTRIGHT MARKET
Key Trends
13/13 winners were Premier League teams
11 /13 winners were Premier League teams that finished in the top six the previous season
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