We'll have a lot of EPL in the next few days, the moment the 10 matches that are scheduled for this game week finish, we have four more games played on Tuesday and Wednesday. Let's see what we have for this weekend first.
The Model's Calculations
You'll notice the odds for two picks immediately, Manchester City @1.57 (@1.28 on the market) and Liverpool @1.51(@1.21 on the market). According to the model, there may be some value in backing Tottenham +1.75 @1.93 and Cardiff +2 @1.89.
Personally, I'm going with the straight model's picks again, even though I don't like those short odds. Especially on the Man City and Liverpool games.
One game that stands out is West Ham v Leicester. Here, the model goes against the market and backs the home side to win @2.44 or better and since you can get West Ham to win @3.21 I think that it's worth the risk.
Two more games where laying the favorite may prove worth the risk are Bournemouth v Fulham and Everton v Manchester Utd. The difference between my model's odds and the one's you can get on the market is not that great (but neither too bad) and depending on the team news today and tomorrow it may be worth investigating.
All the picks are being tracked on my blitzpredict profile. Good luck!
PS - Do not forget to join the SBC League
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