Anything might happen after mid-week Champions and Europa League games, so tread carefully while preparing your fantasy squads for gameweek 6.

Arsenal and Everton are in for a game-full-of-goals at the Emirates Stadium, Chelsea are visiting a resurrected West Ham side, Tottenham will be looking to end their woeful streak, Manchester United will try to quench fiery Wolverhampton, and Manchester City, stung by their Champions League defeat will go head-to-head with unpredictable Cardiff. Only Liverpool are expected to stroll past Southampton in this relatively easy fixture.

Definite clean sheet

Top five teams with best clean sheet odds.

Manchester City - 1,65

Liverpool - 1,75

Leicester - 2,02

Manchester United - 2,3

Chelsea - 2,69

Manchester City’s misstep in their home Champions League game failed to scare the bookies off as they rate Citizens firm favorites to get a clean sheet when playing Cardiff away. Cardiff are relegation favorites and are amongst 5 worst attacks this season, but Neil Warnock’s side strength is their unpredictability.

Only Manchester City defend better than Liverpool this season, and Southampton arrive at Anfield without their main attacking threat in Danny Ings. On loan from Liverpool, Ings almost single-handedly transformed the Saints into the 6th best attack in the league (averaging 1,42xG per game). Without him, it will be hard for the Saints to create anything in front of Allison’s goal.

One of the best-underappreciated defenses is playing hosts to the worst attack in the league. Leicester must be getting a long-deserved clean sheet with Pereira and Chilwell bound to be in the game week’s most popular stacking option. Huddersfield is woeful away from home and will be relying mostly on luck and set-plays.

Manchester United have been impressive since their game against Tottenham. 4 games are enough to say that they are getting closer to their optimal form. Pogba is starting to feel more natural as the club’s captain and leads the side alongside Lukaku. De Gea seems to have remembered why he was labeled “best goalie in the world” last season. Manchester United are firing on all cylinders, but there is a slight problem - Wolverhampton. They are incredibly good for a newly-promoted side. Wolves managed to contain Manchester City and then disassembled West Ham and Burnley. Manchester United’s clean sheet is in danger.

Chelsea had only one terrible defensive performance - home to Arsenal. Other than that, Sarri’s team is looking rather impressive. If their game against West Ham was to be played before the international break, it would have been safe to say a clean sheet was on order even in an away game. But now it looks like West Ham have improved, and if Arnautovic is fit, Chelsea’s clean sheet looks far from certain.

Goals galore

5 clubs with the best bookies odds to score 3 or more goals.

Manchester City — 1,75

Liverpool — 1,89

Arsenal — 2,26

Chelsea — 2,65

Manchester United - 3,1

Manchester City boasts the best defense (almost 3xG per match), but all their attacking performances have come at home so far. They slipped away at Wolves, drawing 1:1, who played solid defense not conceding a lot of chances to Pep’s side. Cardiff’s back line is not as solid, and even the Welsh bus parked in front of goal might fail to stop wounded champions after their Lyon’s defeat.

Liverpool have been equally as good against top sides as they have been against teams from the bottom. The reds create a lot of chances against any opponent with their wins against Tottenham (2:1) and Paris (3:2) looking like a solid statement of intent this season. Liverpool impress up front even with Salah out of form, so Southampton are in for a tough night. They concede 1,5xG on average, these numbers failing to impress prior to a visit to Anfield.

It seems that Unai Emery has figured out his best-attacking formation. Arsenal’s attacking numbers are impressive for the past three games - scoring at least 2 goals per game. Everton have failed to register a clean sheet yet, and the Emirates are the last place to end this streak.

Only Fulham defend worse than West Ham, and we disregard Fulham’s match at the Etihad they would be practically even. Manuel Pellegrini hasn’t figured out his best defense yet which looks reassuring for Eden Hazard. He is in fantastic form and ready to tear any defense apart, especially as disorganized as West Ham’s

The poor start of the season didn’t stop Manchester United becoming one of the best three attacks in the league by game week 6 - 1,77xG per game. In game week 5 Jose Mourinho’s team dismantled the league’s best defense, but now they face another stern test in Wolverhampton, whom even Manchester City failed to break down. Wolves are one the three best defenses and will come to the Old Trafford with a plan to contain Lukaku, Pogba, and co.

Statistical cheater

Players with unexpected statistical performances from the last 4 game weeks.

  • Joe Hart (Burnley) has made 24 saves, 6 per match on average
  • Matt Doherty (Wolverhampton) - 7 shots in the box, that is at least 2 more than any other defender. He is also the best defender in xG+xA (1,52).
  • Nathan Ake (Bournemouth) had 3 big chances (3 shots) - more than any other defender.
  • David Silva (Manchester City) leads the league in chances created (16) and big chances created (4).
  • Romelu Lukaku (Manchester United) has 14 shots, all of them from inside the box, no one has more.
  • Gabriel Jesus (Manchester City) has more big chances than anyone in the league - 7, but only 1 goal scored so far.
  • Danny Ings (Southampton) - leads the league in xG+xA (3,79)

Differentials

Unusual and undervalued fantasy-picks who might surprise in game week 6.

  • Richarlison (midfielder, Everton) - he is back following his 3-match suspension away to a leaky Arsenal’s side. An ideal moment for him to remind us why he was considered a must-own at the start of the season.
  • Will Hughes (midfielder, Watford) - is dirt-cheap, plays against the worst defense in the league and in second in Watford for xG+xA.
  • Callum Wilson (forward, Bournemouth) - Burnley is not as solid as last year, even at home. Bournemouth boast one of 5 best attacks in the league, and Wilson is their main threat, despite Fraser’s and King’s hauls last week.
  • Ben Chilwell (defender, Leicester) - one of the most undervalued defenders in the league. He tops the charts in attacking third touches, average position, but has failed to transform this into any attacking returns so far. The game against Huddersfield might be his moment to shine with a solid clean sheet chance to back up our selection.
  • Glenn Murray (forward, Brighton) - his third appearance here, well-deserved every time. Tottenham are not in their best form and the 34-year old striker from Brighton has been scoring in every match lately. Might find his chance now as well.

Captains

Manchester City away is not as imposing up front as at home, Arsenal have too many potential goal scorers, West Ham are off their knees, meaning Hazard's captaincy is not as solid of an option. That leaves us the one and only Liverpool at home. Despite a slight dip in form, their main man is Salah, who leads the league with 4,32 xG+xA.

Captain Dreamy is Alexander Lacazette. The Frenchman has claimed the forward spot as of late, even managing to top the team’s attacking stats charts. He was rested for the Thursday’s Europa League game - it look like his time to shine has come.

Captain selection for game week 6

  • Captain Obvious — Mohammed Salah (Liverpool)
  • Captain Dreamy — Alexander Lacazette (Arsenal)

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