Yesterday after Champions League draw I asked Scorum users to answer some questions about its result. Also I have promised to share my analysis. And this post is about my calculations.

I wouldn't go deep in Maths, just notice that for this analysis there were used 3 indexes: clubs UEFA rating, country UEFA rating and transfer values of players. First two were united in one aggregate index that was calculate as geometric mean of them. So this aggregate rating is the main index in all calculations, transfer values is subsidiary one. And lets go to the results but previously we'll remember draw results

The strongest group

To determine the strongest we should just to make sum of ratings and transfer values of teams in each group. The higher result means more strong group.

As we see the strongest groups are A, G and H and the weakest are D, E and F.

Equal and diffentiated groups

To analyse equbility of teams in each group I used standard deviation of ratings and values. The lower result means more equal teams are in group.

The most equal group is D where Lokomotiv from Moscow were drawed from the first pot. The most differentiated groups are G, B and A.

Favorites and outsiders

To calculate chances for going to last 16 stage I took club's rating and substracted rating of 3 others team in group.

The main favorites are Real, Barcelona, Atletico, Bayern, Manchester City and Juventus. The outsiders are Red Star, Young Boys, Brugge, Plsen and AEK.

Thank you for you attention and I think you like my post. Asa conclusion I'd like to say that people play football but not numbers. So these calculations is just an attempt to predict group stage results. I'm sure that we will see some unpredictable games with sensational results because we love football for such cases.