This is because the voting results of the BBWAA (All Miya Ward Journalists Association) for admission into the Hall of Fame will be announced on January 21 next year.
Ten years after his retirement, this is Bonds last chance to be inducted into the Hall of Fame.If he fails to cross the 75% cutoff in the vote,he will be permanently barred from the Hall of Fame.The controversy surrounding Bonds Hall of Fame status over the past decade has been fueled by a steroid scandal.
Although the BBWAA voter turnout has increased every year from 59.1% to 60.7% to 61.8% in the past three years, it is still far from the cut-off line.This time, the sympathy mark seems to be gathering a little more,but the overall atmosphere has not changed much.
ESPN published an interesting article on the 12th about Bonds career record.I quoted the predictions of ZiPS,a performance prediction program used by FanGraphs,a website specializing in baseball statistics.According to ZiPS, Bonds was predicted to hit 23 home runs in 2001.The error range was ±2~3. However, that year, Bonds actually hit 73 home runs,the most in a season in Major League Baseball.In the four years 2001-2004,when he allegedly received the drug from the Bay Area Research Institute (BALCO), Bonds hit 209 home runs.ZiPS predicted 66.It flew about 3 times more.
According to ZiPS predictions,FanGraphs believes Bonds will retire after hitting 551 home runs.It is calculated that he would not have crossed 600 miles without the help of drugs.Then,his career home run ranking is 15th.However,Bonds played 762 home runs until 2007,making him the all-time leader in the division.
ESPN also said,The speculation that Bonds may have retired a year earlier is meaningful enough.He said that he was able to prolong his playing career with the help of drugs.
Bonds has been on steroids since 1999. This is explained as the reason for the sharp increase in the number of home runs since 2000.Bonds,who had set his most season record with 49 homers in 2000 at the age of 36, hit 73 homers in 2001 and hit more than 40 in three consecutive years from 2002 to 2004.
Bonds,who hit 445 home runs in 14 seasons from 1986 to 1999, when he debuted in the big leagues, added 317 home runs in eight seasons from 2000 to 2007, when the drug's effects began in earnest.
Bonds would have been inducted into his Hall of Fame in his first year of qualification,if he had continued to perform without the aid of drugs,even if he failed to set his home run record.