So how confident is Madden NFL to forecast winners? Take a look at the Super Bowl predictions track record of the series.
The first time I read about this back in 2015 was my favorite prediction. The game forecast that year that the Seattle Seahawks will win by Patriots. Not just the forecast was right, but it was right right down to this point and very close to many details like that of Tom Brady who got MVP and, astonishingly, his yards and touchdowns –335 yards and 4 touchdowns predicted the game; Brady received 328 yards and 4 touchdowns in the current Super Bowl.
However, due to the great miss of last year, the accuracy of the franchise prediction has dropped a bit. The game has ten correct forecasts of 15 at the moment. This is still 66% accurate, but below 71% last year. Every year since the game started running these simulations, all results are present:
Super Bowl LII (Wrong)
- Madden: Patriots 24, Eagles 20
- Actual Score: Eagles 41, Patriots 33
Super Bowl LI (Correct)
- Madden: Patriots 27, Falcons 24
- Actual Score: Patriots 34, Falcons 28
Super Bowl L (Wrong)
- Madden: Panthers 24, Broncos 20
- Actual Score: Broncos 24, Panthers 10
Super Bowl XLIX (Correct)
- Madden: Patriots 28, Seahawks 24
- Actual Score: Patriots 28, Seahawks 24
Super Bowl XLVIII (Wrong)
- Madden: Broncos 31, Seahawks, 28
- Actual score: Seahawks 43, Broncos, 8
Super Bowl XLVII (Correct)
- Madden: Ravens, 27, 49ers, 24
- Actual score: Ravens, 34, 49ers, 31
Super Bowl XLVI (Correct)
- Madden: Giants, 27, Patriots, 24
- Actual score: Giants, 21, Patriots, 17
Super Bowl XLV (Wrong)
- Madden: Steelers, 24, Packers, 20
- Actual score: Packers, 31, Steelers, 25
Super Bowl XLIV (Correct)
- Madden: Saints 35, Colts 31
- Actual score: Saints 31, Colts 17
Super Bowl XLIII (Correct)
- Madden: Steelers 28, Cardinals 24
- Actual score: Steelers 27, Cardinals 23
Super Bowl XLII (Wrong)
- Madden: Patriots 38, Giants 30
- Actual score: Giants 17, Patriots 14
Super Bowl XLI (Correct)
- Madden: Colts 38, Bears 27
- Actual score: Colts 29, Bears 17
Super Bowl XL (Correct)
- Madden: Steelers 24, Seahawks 19
- Actual score: Steelers 21, Seahawks 10
Super Bowl XXXIX (Correct)
- Madden: Patriots 47, Eagles 31
- Actual score: Patriots 24, Eagles 21
Super Bowl XXXVIII (Correct)
- Madden: Patriots 23, Panthers 20
- Actual Score: Patriots 32, Panthers 29
As you see, when EA started to perform these simulations, the game made much more correct predictions. The game was only wrong once in the first seven years. The game has been wrong half the time over the next 8 years. If this year it's wrong. Well, for accurate predictions, we might have to stop looking for the Madden franchise.
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