Goal Stats

Match Ratings

These ratings are based on my draw-no bet model.

How To Profit From The Match

The Average Goals Scored stats suggest both teams should score here. Even over the last ten away matches for Arsenal they've average 1.10 goals scored. True, Chelsea are the top level of opposition but Chelsea have also conceded on average across the four measurements I use pretty much one goal per game and that is true within the two measurements of home games.

As far as Average Points from each match Chelsea across the four measurements are around the two mark whilst the eyecatching figure on Arsenal's side is the fact in their last four and ten away matches they've average less than one point from the match.

Looking at the Over 2.5 Goals % in them these stats strongly point to there being over 2.5 goals in the match.

Finally the Match Ratings, these suggest it is going to be a closer match then the odds suggest.

So taking into account all of the above we have four assertions:

1. Both teams look likely to score

2. On the Average Points stats it looks like Chelsea will beat Arsenal

3. The Over 2.5 Goals % strongly suggest there'll be over 2.5 goals in the match

4. The Match Ratings have this a closer match than the odds suggest

Taking these four assertions into account the match could unfold as follows. Chelsea will beat Arsenal 2-1, with a late winner. That helps cover all four assertions. It also means the traders amongst you can use this info to lock in some profits.

For those of you looking for a bet with a traditional bookmaker I'd be looking to take the general 3.2 available about a Chelsea win and there being Over 2.5 Goals in the match.


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