I'm making these weekly posts as a way to track my personal pre-game handicapping results along with my live betting action on Belgian Teams. These posts will usually contain some insights when it comes down to my general approach and what I do to increase my chance of beating the market.
It's been quite a struggle as of late for me to pull the trigger on bigger bets as it's really hard to get a good grip on teams who are very inconsistent in their performances. I pretty much remain disciplined mostly betting/trading smaller positions. The couple bigger ones that I got myself into did not come through making it into a rather big losing week mostly because of a red Sunday.
Halfway Regular Season
The Regular Season is exactly halfway and I can't complain so far as everything pretty much going according to realistic long term expectations. +4.26% on 740 bets all together with the average stake being around 0.28 units resulting in a + 1.835 unit profit overall. The stronger plays I also share on Copytip where they can be followed automatically have done excellent so far as 67 bets (with flat stakes) gave a +19.02% ROI. The aim long term there is to stay selective hopefully avoiding too many crazy swings.
International Break
The next 10 days there is an international break and it's welcome, last month has been much more a struggle compared to the start of the season and a little break to reset my focus should be good. I'm already looking forward to the 2nd part of the season and I have some things I will improve upon in the notes I take on each match and handicapping wise to make sure I don't lose my edge on the market.
4 Bets this week in the SBC Discord Server. most of them were rather late DNB options which ended up pushing and 1 loss on the 2H over in Racing Genk despite there being an almost instant goal in the 2nd half. I will do another Live betting record update post somewhere in the next 10 days.
Discord Live-Bets Week 15
Charleroi +0 @ 1.79 (1-0 86') FT 1-0 PUSH
Moeskroen +0 @ 2.22 (72' 1-1) FT 2-2 PUSH
Racing Genk vs AA Gent Over 2.75 @ 2.189 (HT 0-1) FT 0-2
AA Gent +0 @ 2.07 (74' 0-2) FT 0-2
The season start continues to add in sample size and continues hanging around the expected profit pink line. There is still not much needed to make it go way up or down though. The 2nd half of the season usually is a bigger challenge but I'm quite up for it and looking forward to the continued grind.
Let me know in the comments how your own betting week was or leave a link to your own results tracking post and I'll make sure to give it an upvote!
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