I'm making these posts weekly as a way to track my personal pre-game handicapping results along with my live betting action on Belgian Teams. These posts will always contain some insights when it comes down to my general approach and what I do to increase my chance of beating the market.

I had solid Friday and Saturday betting results being up around +2 units to give it all away and end up with a loss on Sunday this week. I took 42 bets on 8 matches which is quite a lot and have also gone over 1000 bets already with still 2 weeks to go in the regular season and the playoffs still ahead.

I still need to work a bit on my Quality vs Quantity ratio and my average stake size was on the low side around 0.38 units for each bet this week. I would like to get that up to 0.5 units at least which is my season average stake. The more official shared bets (both pre-game and live) have done considerably better compared to the many my side bets I take but the last couple of weeks and I will tone those side bets down a bit.

Plenty of live bets in the SBC Discord Server which ended up just above break even. I made a Discord Live Betting Results update last week and they are currently running at a very solid +5.47% ROI after 188 bets.

Discord Live-Bets

Moeskroen 1st Half +0.25 @ 2.11 (4' 0-0) HALF WON
Moeskroen +0.25 @ 1.87 (68' 1-1) HALF WON
Charleroi vs Genk Under 2.75 @ 1.90 (11' 0-0) WON
Charleroi vs Genk Over 2.5 @ 2.23 (82' 1-1) LOST
Cercle Brugge 1H +0.25 @ 1.97 (0-0 10') VOID
Cercle Brugge 1H +0.25 @ 2.05 (14' 0-1) HALF WON
Waasland Beveren +0.5 @ 1.813 (26' 0-0) WON
Club Brugge -0.5 @ 1.93 (59' 0-0) WON
Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Over 1.5 @ 2.250 (81' 1-0) LOST
Zulte-Waregem vs AA Gent CK Over 11 @ 1.917 (48' 3-3) LOST
Lokeren 1H +0.25 @ 1.961 (11' 0-0 LOST
Lokeren vs Anderlecht Corners Under 16.5 @ 1.97 (25' 3-6) LOST
Antwerp vs Eupen 1H Under 1 @ 1.90 (0-0 6') WON

I nearly reached the expected profit range on Saturday but saw it being rejected on Sunday. Even with a sample of 1000+ bets there is not much needed to make a +3.5% ROI drop to +2.5%. This goes the other way around also luckily. The bigger your sample the more stable the ROI will be and the more you know your true edge. Everything in between is just ups and downs.

Let me know in the comments how your betting week was!