Since I started sharing my bets with you all, there is no point not to provide a summary of the bets. Nobody can guarantee a bet goes well, but I have thought about every bet I've placed. When I place a bet, I have a reason to do so. You might have a completely different opinion on the outcome, or share my thoughts. I don't claim to be good at sports betting, I simply enjoy it a lot. If the final result is that I make a huge profit, that would be amazing, that's what we all want. However in case I end up losing the money that I use for my bets, then that is fine. I only play with money that I'm able lose and if I do, then it was well spent on enjoying myself.
When I bet on markets I always bet 10 units, with two exceptions. In case I bet on the correct score of a match I use 2 units and in case I have a reason to not stake 10 units, then I give the reason for that. In most such situations I see value in splitting the bet in 2 smaller bets of 5 units.
The first bets I shared with you were the ones for the first leg of the Copa Libertadores.
Fraste Bets: Boca Juniors vs. River Plate
River Plate did not win the match, meaning that bet was lost. Both teams managed to score and also the over 2.5 bet was a success. I staked 32 and got 58 back, +26.00
Yesterday I shared my bets in two posts:
Fraste Bets : 15/11/2018 Friendlies
Fraste Bets : 15/11/2018 Nations League
In total I placed 33 bets during this international round of football/soccer. Out of these 33 bets 15 went well, 16 were lost and 2 were void due to Kuwait vs. Bahrain being cancelled.
Total stake in these matches was 330 and I received 337.50 back, not a big profit, but any profit is a profit +7.50
On the picture below you can see that besides losing one bet more than I won, there is still a profit of 33.50 units. As long as the winning bets pay out enough there is no problem with missing bets from time to time too.
Highlights of the bets and predictions
Out of the 17 different matches I predicted three scores exactly correct. Unfortunately I did not bet on these correct scores, but due to these results all bets placed on those matches were won.
Germany vs. Russia 3-0
England vs. United States 3-0
Croatia vs. Spain 3-2
Croatia scored their 3-2 in stoppage time, but I'm pretty proud of predicting this result against all odds.
Top 3 profits were coming from the following bets:
Croatia vs. Spain - 1x2 Croatia to win +28.00
Greece vs. Finland - Greece to win to nil +17.50
Croatia vs. Spain - Over 2.5 goals +12.00
Hungary vs. Estonia - Hungary to win -1 goal +12.00
With sharing my bets I also try to learn and to see if there are any particular type of bets I am good or extremely bad at. The same goes for the type of league or the geographical area. The information below will show you exactly how I did in whichever category you can find there. My aim is to keep this up and running whenever I place a bet. Sometimes I play a lot of bets at once, then sometimes I don't place a bet for a week or longer.
If you have any questions about the information you see below, then please let me know. I'm happy to explain it in more detail if needed.
We can see that in the early stages my strength seems to be in non competitive and in matches where nations meet intercontinentally. Let's hope it doesn't stay like this, as those are the two categories with the least amount of matches on a yearly basis.
Not much club football yet, only last weeken's Copa Libertadores results are included here. It was good, so it's in the green!
For now I am good at predicting if both teams score during a match and to evaluate if a team will win without getting any goals in. The biggest trouble I have so far is betting on the right outcome (home win / draw / away win). This is concerning as it is the type of bet most people play and which most people including myself are most comfortable in. Well not yesterday at least.
When you check out the posts I shared I also share predictions on which I don't bet. Those are however added into this statistic in which you can see how accurate my write-ups were in comparison to reality. Looking at these current results I should be very happy.
Please let me know what you think of these statistics. Is there anything you would like to see or would like, or perhaps advise me to change? Above all, I bet for pleasure, but if anyone has any tips to share, I'm willing to listen and/or to give it a try.
Thank you for reading and supporting me.
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