Tonight we will see a game between Huddersfield Town and Burnley. Two sides are in bitter fighting for survival. Both are below the red line in relegation zone. They are not among the strongest sides in the league, but they are going to fight until last drop of blood. Let's see how stats look like for this game.
Host is at the last 20th place with only 10 points from 20 games, they have 2 wins 4 draws and 14 lost games with 12 goals scored and 35 conceded. This is the last train for them to come closer to rest of clubs who are fighting for survival. Away side is in little better position at 18th place with 15 points from 20 games. They have 4 wins 3 draws 13 lost games with 19 goals scored and 41 conceded. Southampton who is above them has same number of points 15 and is going for shaving at Stamford Bridge tonight against Chelsea. So this is great opportunity for Burnley to jump over them on the table.
Regarding form when we see last 6 games we see that Huddersfield is the last with 6 loses from 6 last games with 3 goals scored and 11 conceded. Burnley is at 16th place with 2 wins and 4 lost games with 6 goals scored and 12 conceded. So away team is better form. When we look at last 4 games at home and away, Huddersfield has 1 draw and 3 lost, the same like Burnley away. Huddersfield has lost the last 5 games vs Arsenal, Newcastle, Southampton, Manchester United and Fulham. Newcastle and Southampton defeated them at home which shows us that even teams in survival fight are to tough for them even at home. Burnley has showed some positive results like waking up from coma after annihilation against Everton of 1:5 at home. They managed to win West Ham, a decent mid table club with 2:0. That confirms our conclusion that they are in better form at the moment.
Let's see tradition between these two clubs. They have even score 2-1-2 with 5:5 goals at Huddersfield Stadium. The last game there ended up 0:0. This season at Burnley's place it was 1:1. The last 3 games in sum between those clubs ended in draw with results like 0:0 or 1:1. This statistic does not give advantage to any side and suggests draw. But statistics are not playing players do that.
When we look at players we can see devastating fact that strikers from Huddersfield did not score single goal this season. Main threat for opponents is 191 cm high defender Jorgensen who scored 3 goals so far. Midfielders Mooy and Billing scored 2 goals. Mooy has ligament injury and will not play. Burnley's players scored more goals. Vokes and Barnes scored 3, Wood 2,Vidra and McNeil 1 goal. In contrast every attacker from Burnley scored at least 1 goal this season. 185 cm high defender Tarkowski scored 3 goals, midfielder Gudmunson scored 2 goals so far. So both teams have high jumper from defense dangerous at set pieces while Burnley has a lot more players capable for scoring goal. I would say that this give Burnley serious advantage.
Burnley is in better form, Burnely has more players capable of scoring goals, statistics is the same, they have same motive for playing - survival, but for some unknown reason bookmakers give host advantage. They offer odd 2.2 for 1, 3 for X and between 3.3 and 3.8 for Burnley win. Why is that ? Come on lads Burnley scored more goals away than Huddersfield at home all they need to do tonight is to block that defender at set pieces and they have been done with Huddersfield. I think they can do this.
I think it is justified risk to place a bet on away club Burnley here.
Comments