Here at FightOdds.io veteran MMA journalist Adam Martin gives his complete picks and breakdowns for each and every UFC fight card. UFC Fight Night 136 takes place Saturday, September 15 at Olympic Stadium in Moscow, Russia, and Adam’s picks are below.

Heavyweight bout: Mark Hunt (-170) vs Alexey Oleinik (+150)

Hunt (13-12-1, 1 NC) is 44 and he’s 8-6-1, 1 NC in the UFC. The New Zealander is one of the most respected veterans in the heavyweight division having competed at a high level of combat sports for over two decades. He is one of the hardest punchers ever in MMA and has historically had one of the best chins as well. In recent years, however, his durability has been a concern as he’s suffered some bad knockout losses at his old age and his ground game hasn’t looked great either. Still, he’s a tough gatekeeper and he showed that with his knockout win over Derrick Lewis last year. Oleinik (56-11-1) is 41 and he’s 5-2 in the UFC. The Russian is one of the greatest submission artists to ever compete in the heavyweight division and he’s the only man in UFC history to pull off the rare ezekiel choke. However, he is a true submission specialist and his striking has never been his strong suit. That could be a problem against Hunt, who is one of the best punchers in the division and who also has the better cardio in this fight. I can’t completely discount Oleinik locking up a submission, but I think the most-likely scenario for this fight is Hunt catching Oleinik on the chin and putting him to sleep.

Pick: Mark Hunt

Light Heavyweight bout: Jan Blachowicz (+110) vs Nikita Krylov (-130)

Blachowicz (22-7) is 35 and he’s 5-4 in the UFC. The Pole has really turned it on as of late with three straight wins including a victory over Jimi Manuwa in his last fight that landed him a spot in the top five. He’s always been an impressive striker, but his wrestling and ground game have looked better lately as well. Krylov (24-5) is 26 and he’s 6-3 in the UFC. The Ukrainian is making his return to the UFC after winning four straight fights in Russia including back-to-back knockout wins over Fabio Maldonado and Emanuel Newton. Although his submission defense has gotten him into trouble, there’s no doubt he’s one of the most deadly strikers in the light heavyweight division and also an underrated submission artist, as all of his professional victories have come inside the distance. No doubt Blachowicz has looked great lately and is one of the most-improved fighters in the division, but Krylov has looked even better in my opinion. I think he makes a triumphant return to the UFC here with an exciting finish over Blachowicz early in the fight.

Pick: Nikita Krylov

Heavyweight bout: Andrei Arlovski (+105) vs Shamil Abdurakhimov (-125)

Abdurakhimov (18-4) is 37 and he’s 3-2 in the UFC. The Russian is coming off of a big KO win over Chase Sherman that will give him some confidence after a disappointing loss to Derrick Lewis in a fight he was winning before gassing out late. Arlovski (27-16, 1 NC) is 39 and he’s 16-10 in the UFC. The Belarusian is one of the greatest heavyweights of all time but he has struggled as of late with a 2-6 record over his last eight fights, including a decision loss to Tai Tuivasa in his last bout. His chin is very questionable at this point of his career, and I think Abdurakhimov can catch him early and knock him out.

Pick: Shamil Abdurakhimov

Welterweight bout: Thiago Alves (+415) vs Alexey Kunchenko (-525)

Kunchenko (18-0) is 34 and he’s making his UFC debut. The Russian is undefeated in his career with most of his experience coming in M-1, with the majority of his victories coming by knockout. His level of competition hasn’t been great, but he’s been dominant in almost every fight he’s been in. Alves (22-12) is 34 and he’s 15-9 in the UFC. The Brazilian has been in the UFC for 13 years and is still kicking around, but he has really struggled to stay healthy in recent years and typically fights once a year. In his last fight, he was knocked out by Curtis Millender, and his chin is definitely a concern at this point of his career. I think this is a total set-up fight to get Kunchenko a big name win in his UFC debut and I think he knocks Alves out early on.

Pick: Alexey Kunchenko

Middleweight bout: C.B. Dollaway (+130) vs Khalid Murtazaliev (-150)

Murtazaliev (13-2) does not have a known age and he is making his UFC debut on extremely short notice for this fight. The Russian accepted this bout with Dollaway just a few days ago and will be doing so on the strength of a two-fight win streak in Fight Night Global. All of his career victories have come by stoppage except for one. Dollaway (17-8) is 35 and he’s 12-8 in the UFC. The American has been in the UFC for 10 years now and has remained a solid gatekeeper in the middleweight division. He is coming off of two straight wins over Ed Herman and Hector Lombard that snapped a three-fight losing skid before that. I don’t think Dollaway has much left in the tank but considering how short of notice Murtazaliev took this fight on I think there’s a chance Dollaway will be able to grind him out for a decision as long as he’s able to survive the early onslaught, which is of course no sure thing. The pick is Dollaway by decision but it’s not a confident one by any means.

Pick: C.B. Dollaway

Bantamweight bout: Petr Yan (-900) vs Jin Soo Son (+600)

Yan (9-1) is 25 and he’s 1-0 in the UFC. Russian is currently riding a four-fight win streak that includes a brilliant UFC debut where he knocked out Teruto Ishihara in devastating fashion. He’s one of the top bantamweight prospects in the world. Son (9-2) is 25 and he’s making his UFC debut. The is a DEEP veteran and is riding a four-fight win streak into his Octagon debut. He should be commended for taking the fight with Yan when no one else wanted to, but having said that, this is a terrible matchup for him against an absolute killer. I’m fully expecting Yan to hand Son his first stoppage loss in this one.

Pick: Petr Yan

Lightweight bout: Rustam Khabilov (-750) vs Kajan Johnson (+525)

Khabilov (22-3) is 31 and he’s 8-2 in the UFC. The Russian is one of the top grinders in the lightweight division as he’s won five straight fights by decision, but the UFC wants him to get a finish before the matchmakers give him a ranked opponent. Perhaps this is the fight where he does it. Johnson (23-13-1) is 34 and he’s 4-2 in the UFC. The Canadian has been a pleasant surprise in the UFC overall as he’s won numerous fights as a big underdog, but he was outclassed by Islam Makhachev in his last fight and it sure seems like this is a similar bad matchup for him against Khabilov. It seems like the UFC wants Johnson to fight the toughest guys and lose before they cut him. Although I don’t think you can completely count Johnson out based on all the upsets he’s pulled off, Khabilov really should be able to finish him in this fight.

Pick: Rustam Khabilov

Lightweight bout: Mairbek Taisumov (-470) vs Des Green (+375)

Taisumov (27-5) is 30 and he’s 6-1 in the UFC. The Russian is one of the heaviest punchers in the lightweight division and has won his last five fights in a row by knockout. However, visa issues have led to inactivity and he hasn’t fought in over a year. Green (21-7) is 28 and he’s 2-2 in the UFC. The American has looked ok in the UFC so far but with his last seven fights going the distance he needs to get a finish if he wants to move up the ladder. That doesn’t seem likely to happen here as Taisumov is far superior on the feet and he can stop Green’s takedowns. Moreover, Green was recently involved in a car accident and taking a fight so soon after seems like a bad idea. I like Taisumov here a lot, and think he gets the job done by knockout.

Pick: Mairbek Taisumov

Light Heavyweight bout: Magomed Ankalaev (-440) vs Marcin Prachnio (+350)

Ankalaev (10-1) is 26 and he’s 0-1 in the UFC. The Russian was dominating Paul Craig in his UFC debut before tapping out with just one second left in the last round in one of the biggest choke jobs of all time. As tight as that choke was, he should have risked falling to sleep considering there was just a tick left on the clock, and it makes me question his heart going forward. Prachnio (13-3) is 30 and he’s 0-1 in the UFC. The Pole was knocked out by Sam Alvey in his UFC debut but had won eight straight fights prior to entering the Octagon. He has a lot of knockout power but he also needs to work on hs striking defense as he’s been knockout out a couple times himself. Even though Ankalaev cannot be trusted with your money after what happened in the Craig fight, I still think this is stylistically a good matchup for him and he should be able to grind out a decision, just like he should have against Craig.

Pick: Magomed Ankalaev

Middleweight bout: Adam Yandiev (+210) vs Jordan Johnson (-250)

Johnson (9-0) is 29 and he’s 3-0 in the UFC. The American came over to the UFC as a former champ in RFA but has been a bit of a disappointment so far as he hasn’t been able to finish a fight and his three wins have been unentertaining decisions. He is dropping down to middleweight for this fight and took it on short notice filling in for the injured Krzysztof Jotko. This is the last fight on his UFC contract and rumor as it he isn’t happy with how the matchmakers have treated him. Yandiev (9-0) is 30 and he’s making his UFC debut. The Russian has won all of his pro fights by stoppage but he has not fought since 2015 which is a huge layoff. That being said, the fact the UFC matched him up with Jotko originally shows me that the matchmakers thing there’s something special here. Based on the tape I’ve seen, this guy looks very dangerous. A few underdogs are going to win on this card and even though Johnson has had more success in the UFC I’m going with Yandiev to make a great comeback from his long layoff with a highlight-reel finish.

Pick: Adam Yandiev

Welterweight bout: Ramazan Emeev (-560) vs Stefan Sekulic (+430)

Emeev (17-3) is 31 and he’s 2-0 in the UFC. The Azerbaijan native is riding a six-fight win streak right now and has won fights at both middleweight and welterweight in the UFC. He seems to have settled in at 170lbs and based on the well-rounded skill-set we’ve seen from him so far in the UFC he could potentially be a contender, though getting a finish would be nice. Sekulic (12-2) is 27 and he’s making his UFC debut. The Serb is coming off of two straight wins on the Serbian regional circuit and has won eight of his last nine fights overall. However, his level of competition has been questionable. Emeev is the better fighter and he should be able to finish this fight.

Pick: Ramazan Emeev

Bantamweight bout: Merab Dvalishvili (-550) vs Terrion Ware (+425)

Dvalishvili (7-4) is 27 and he’s 0-2 in the UFC. The Georgian native has had some bad luck in the UFC so far as he lost a close decision to Frankie Perez in his debut and then was submitted in controversial fashion against Ricky Simon in his last fight. He has performed better in the Octagon than his record indicates as his high-pressure style is a lot of fun to watch. Ware (17-7) is 32 and he’s 0-3 in the UFC. The American has lost three razor-close decisions to top prospects Sean O’Malley, Cody Stamann and Tom Duquesnoy and the UFC is giving him one more shot based on having solid performances even in his losses. I think Ware is a better fighter than most give him credit for but I have to go with Dvalishvili in this one. I think he’s the more well-rounded fighter and I think he mixed his takedowns and strikes to take a decision.

Pick: Merab Dvalishvili

Last event: 7-6

2018 picks year-to-date: 195-117 (63%)

Final 2017 tally: 282-171, 3 No Contest (64%)