In this weekend @broncofan99 have a good contest where you can win 25 SCR-freebet. I like the concept and will here tell you my prediction for the Premiere League-contest and why I will guess like this.
The rules in short
Guess 1 x 2 in 10 matches AND total scores. If you guess 1 or 2 and guess right you get 1 points. If you guess x and guess right you will get 2 points.
For me it is NECESSARY to always read the rules closely and think about where to find the best way to bet. I am not a good bettingperson if I just have to guess different matches. I like the mathematical more. And try to find systems.
First of all - here is the contest
Here is my bet
Fullham - United - UNITED
Liverpool - Bournemoth LIVERPOOL
Huddersfield - Arsenal ARSENAL
Southampton - Cardiff SOUTHAMPTON
Crystal Palace - West Ham DRAW
watford - everton DRAW
Brighton - Burnley DRAW
Tottenham- Leicester TOTTENHAM
Man City - Chelsea MAN CITY
Wolfs - New Castle WOLFS
WHY BET LIKE THIS?
- To enter a contest like this is NOT the same as gambling. In gambling a high odds can be good. In this contest it does not mather if United have odds 1,2 or 3,5. If I guess right - I will get 1 points anyway.
SO - I just check the odds at Betfair and choose to vote at the team with lowest odds. The chance is biggest that they will win.
2. I can get 2 points if I guess at X
This make it little bit more tricky. I get DOUBLE (100%) points if I choose X.
SO - If the odds for X is lower than 100% more than 1 or 2 I take it.
2,1 - 3,2 - 3,7 - This is an example when I choose X. Because the chance to get double points.
1,2-2,5-6,2 Here I will not guess X. I will go for 1.
So - this is how I bet. Do you think it is a good or bad way?
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