In this weekend @broncofan99 have a good contest where you can win 25 SCR-freebet. I like the concept and will here tell you my prediction for the Premiere League-contest and why I will guess like this.

The rules in short

Guess 1 x 2 in 10 matches AND total scores. If you guess 1 or 2 and guess right you get 1 points. If you guess x and guess right you will get 2 points.

For me it is NECESSARY to always read the rules closely and think about where to find the best way to bet. I am not a good bettingperson if I just have to guess different matches. I like the mathematical more. And try to find systems.

First of all - here is the contest

Here is my bet

Fullham - United - UNITED

Liverpool - Bournemoth LIVERPOOL

Huddersfield - Arsenal ARSENAL

Southampton - Cardiff SOUTHAMPTON

Crystal Palace - West Ham DRAW

watford - everton DRAW

Brighton - Burnley DRAW

Tottenham- Leicester TOTTENHAM

Man City - Chelsea MAN CITY

Wolfs - New Castle WOLFS

WHY BET LIKE THIS?

  1. To enter a contest like this is NOT the same as gambling. In gambling a high odds can be good. In this contest it does not mather if United have odds 1,2 or 3,5. If I guess right - I will get 1 points anyway. 

SO - I just check the odds at Betfair and choose to vote at the team with lowest odds. The chance is biggest that they will win.

2. I can get 2 points if I guess at X

This make it little bit more tricky. I get DOUBLE (100%) points if I choose X.

SO - If the odds for X is lower than 100% more than 1 or 2 I take it.

2,1 - 3,2 - 3,7 - This is an example when I choose X. Because the chance to get double points.

1,2-2,5-6,2 Here I will not guess X. I will go for 1.

So - this is how I bet. Do you think it is a good or bad way?