Predictions for all La Liga games of Matchday 11 based on Molali's calculations.
This is the third week already for my prediction model. Let's see where the model finds some value bets for this weekend.
This week I will take a step backwards and go back to place only 3-way bets. The result bets did not go well last week and I want to take some time to think this through before I go on with those.
3-way bets stay the same as last week: For each game I compared the results with the odds from my 3 bookies (bet365, bwin and pinnacle) to find the "odds with value". If the implicit probabilities are lower than the probabilities of Molali, that means a value is there. These are the bets I place. I play every bet with 2 Units.
Leganes - Atletico Madrid
Odds with value: X = 3.6 @ bet365
Real Madrid - Valladolid
Odds with value: X = 8 @ bet365; 2 = 15 @ bet365
Valencia - Girona
Odds with value: X = 4.31 @ Pinnacle; 2 = 7.5 @ bet365
Rayo Vallecano - FC Barcelona
No value bets for this game
Eibar - Alaves
Odds with value: 2 = 3.92 @ Pinnacle
Villareal - Levante
Odds with value: X = 4.2 @ bwin; 2 = 6 @ bet365
Huesca - Getafe
Odds with value: 2 = 2.25 @ Pinnacle
Real Sociedad - Sevilla
No value bets for this game
Betis Sevilla - Celta Vigo
Odds with value: 2 = 4.5 @ bet365
Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao
Odds with value: X = 3.45 @ Pinnacle; 2 = 4.2 @ Pinnacle
Summary
The Molali found 12 value bets for this matchday, what means a total of 24 Units at stake. Good luck to all of you and have a nice weekend, I'll be back on Monday with the review.
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