I'm making these posts weekly as a way to track my personal pre-game handicapping results along with my live betting action on Belgian Teams. These posts will always contain some insights when it comes down to my general approach and what I do to increase my chance of beating the market.
Where last week I was quite pleased despite making a loss, this week was just plain bad in every way and I'm at an overall loss again during the playoffs. Betting can be quite brutal in the short run especially when keeping very close track of your personal results which is the reason so few are doing this. I personally have a very long term mindset and quite enjoy the entire process, times like these are most of all a good learning experience.
I was simply way off this week. Zulte-Waregem had no chance whatsoever against Moeskroen and the same went for Standard against Anderlecht. Oostende and Eupen played a far more open match than I anticipated and I overly got involved in a late over corners bet in the match between Beerschot and Westerlo.
The season is nearly at its end and I'm starting to feel it in my overall focus. The next couple of weeks I will approach with extra caution keeping the bets and stakes rather limited. In a way, I'm already looking forward to next season right now.
I had 4 live bets shared on the SBC Discord Server this week. I was only able to take the 2 that won with limited stakes while the loser I went a bit too big on myself. Overall results on these bets along with the pre-game bets I have taken extra on in BTC remain very solid this season overall though.
Discord Live-Bets
AA Gent vs Kv Mechelen Corners Over 8 @ 2.00 (65' 2-3) WON
AA Gent vs Kv Mechelen Corners Over 10.5 @ 1.80 (78' 6-3) WON
Beerschot vs Westerlo Corners Over 13 @ 2.25 (85' 6-6) LOST
Club brugge +0 @ 1.830 (46' 0-1) PUSH
The playoff bets graph paints a good picture showing how tiny a 200 + bet sample is. Everything went as planned and 1 really bad week can screw everything up. Still some weeks left and I'm hoping to be able to get back to the pink expected line still.
Previous Personal Playoffs Results
Week 07 Results 39 Bets | 15W-18L-06P | Staked 14.28u | -2.908u Loss..
Week 06 Results 40 Bets | 18W-19L-03P | Staked 16.02u | -1.477u Loss..
Week 05 Results 39 Bets | 22W-11L-06P | Staked 14.27u | +2.420u Profit
Week 04 Results 13 Bets | 03W-06L-04P | Staked 06.22u | -1.374u Loss...
Week 03 Results 12 Bets | 03W-08L-01P | Staked 05.54u | -2.021u Loss...
Week 02 Results 19 Bets | 13W-04L-02P | Staked 09.09u | +3.917u Profit...
Week 01 Results 45 Bets | 23W-15L-07P | Staked 17.57u | +1.228u Profit...
Playoffs 2018-2019 Total Results
207 Bets| 97W-81L-29P | Staked 79.99u |-0.215u Loss | -0.27% ROI
Regular Season 2018-2019 Results
109 Bets| 489W-460L-141P | Staked 537.860u | +13.297u Profit | +2.47% ROI
Let me know in the comments how your betting weekend was!
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