I'm making these posts weekly as a way to track my personal pre-game handicapping results along with my live betting action on Belgian Teams. These posts will always contain some insights when it comes down to my general approach and what I do to increase my chance of beating the market.
The turnaround pattern continued in week 24 with some decent profit which could have been a lot more and I'm getting more confident again to the point where I might start having some bigger pre-game bets again.
My focus has mainly been on using the previews that I have been making since the start of last season as a way to prepare myself for some potential live betting setups. It really helps to have a clear plan ready for what to look for before going into a match and this can always be changed or discarded if things turn out different than expected. Especially this week, I had quite some live bets planned upfront and it was just a matter of pulling the trigger.
The first goal in Union vs Mechelen came at minute 30' and I took the over right after. With the 0-2 being scored at minute 64 it provided a good opportunity to get out of the way getting some potential profit without risk at that point since the match was pretty much played. The 1-2 did come in extra time.
Antwerp took a 0-1 early lead in minute 4' and which made me go for the Under 3.25 @ 2.17 quickly along with the U 9.5 in CK. The first bet ended up winning, but the corners went over despite looking like a sure win at HT.
Waasland Beveren took the surprise early lead and I got some in on Genk to equalize before HT but they started pushing too late. At HT I got in on the over and once I saw some confirmation of the push from the 1H end continuing I also got some extra on the comeback. That match ended 1-2.
I had my finger ready to bet the Over 2 line just when the first goal was played by Standard against the play. After watching the minute after seeing Anderlecht not really been shaken up I took the team that was behind as planned and they scored 5 minutes after. Standard was better in the 2nd half and I mostly middled my position.
Plenty of the live bets I took with my betting broker Sportmarket Pro were posted in the SBC Discord Server again. I also always mention when I hedge out part of my stake or take smaller positions just for info. These are never counted into the record and also won't be tracked aside form their results being in these overall weekly results roundups.
Discord Live-Bets Belgian Cup
Union vs Kv Mechelen Over 2.5 @ 2.00 (31' 0-1) WON
Union vs Kv Mechelen Under 2.5 @ 2.11 (65' 0-2) LOST
Kv Oostende 1st Half +0.25 @ 1.88 ( 1-0 23') WON
Oostende vs AA Gent Corners Over 22 @ 1.917 (71' 3-16) LOST
AA Gent -0.25 @ 2.03 ( 0-0 Extra Time) HALF LOST
Discord Live-Bets Belgian League
Moeskroen vs Charleroi 1H Under 1 @ 1.833 ( 0-0 2') PUSH
Moeskroen +0 @ 1.85 (58' 1-0) WON
Moeskroen +0 @ 1.91 (3-0 78') PUSH
Oostende vs Antwerp Corners Under 9 @1.943 ( 0-0 5') LOST
Oostende vs Antwerp Under 3.25 @ 2.17 (0-1 4') WON
Racing Genk 1st Half -0.5 @ 1.847 (1-0 12') LOST
Waasland vs Racing Genk Over 2.75 @ 1.82 (HT 1-0) HALF WON
Genk -1 @ 1.84 (52' 1-0) WON
Anderlecht +0 @ 2.06 (1-0 23') PUSH
Eupen Team Total Under 2 @ 1.951 (11' 0-1) WON
I'm still very much going for reaching that pink expected profit line again. My stakes on average are not as high as they used to be after the big upswing this season sh the pink line will not go up as quickly.
Let me know in the comments how your betting week was!
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